ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
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THE AMERICAS<br />
20 transitory demilitarization areas (ZVTN) and seven camps,<br />
with the FARC being granted one week to arrive in these areas<br />
and an additional six months after the ratification of the<br />
peace deal to relinquish their weapons. Additionally, each<br />
area was to be surrounded by a one-kilometer security zone<br />
in which neither FARC members nor military forces were allowed<br />
to be present. A UN mission requested by both parties<br />
was to supervise the process and to collect the weapons<br />
as well as to guarantee the safety of disarmed FARC members.<br />
Furthermore, the agreement included amnesty for FARC<br />
members accused of political and related crimes. FARC members<br />
who committed war crimes would participate in a transitional<br />
justice mechanism and face reduced prison sentences<br />
or community service of up to eight years if they confessed.<br />
Between January and May, both conflict parties granted a series<br />
of concessions. For instance, the government released 16<br />
of 30 imprisoned FARC members pardoned by President Juan<br />
Manuel Santos the previous year, whereas the FARC refrained<br />
from recruiting minors and released 170 members under the<br />
age of 14 from their ranks. On June 2, Congress passed a<br />
law shielding the future peace agreement from alterations by<br />
subsequent administrations. Santos and FARC leader Rodrigo<br />
Londoño alias Timochenko announcedabilateral ceasefire in<br />
an event in Havana on June 23, which was attended by UNSG<br />
Ban Ki-moon as well as several high-level state representatives.<br />
The Constitutional Court approved the plebiscite to validate<br />
the peace agreement on July 18. On September 26, Santos<br />
and Londoño formally signed the peace deal in Cartagena.<br />
In the run-up to the plebiscite, opponents of the peace<br />
deal launched a 'No'-campaign spearheaded by former president<br />
and leader of the Democratic Center party, Álvaro Uribe.<br />
Among their main criticisms were alleged impunity for FARC<br />
members, the possibility for FARC members to run for political<br />
office, and insufficient measures for victim reparations.<br />
In the plebiscite on October 2, voters rejected the peace deal<br />
by a 50.2 percent to 49.8 percent margin with an electoral<br />
turnout of about 38 percent. In reaction to the plebiscite<br />
results, tens of thousands of people in different cities took<br />
to the streets, demonstrating their support for the proposed<br />
peace deal. Santos held several rounds of negotiations with<br />
the FARC and 'No'-campaign representatives to discuss possible<br />
amendments. On October 15, Santos extended the ceasefire<br />
until the end of the year. On November 12, the government<br />
and the FARC agreed on amodified accord incorporating<br />
over 50 changes, such as the FARC's obligation to proclaim<br />
their assets to the government in order to use them for compensating<br />
victims. Opponents criticized the new agreement<br />
as insufficient and too lenient with the FARC. On November<br />
24, Santos and Londoño signed the revised peace deal in the<br />
capital Bogotá, which was approved by Congress on December<br />
1. The Constitutional Court approved the peace deal on<br />
December 13. On December 28, Congress passed the law<br />
granting amnesty to FARC members. One day later, the UN<br />
Mission to Colombia announced it would extend the deadline<br />
of the FARC's demobilization until January 2017, stating<br />
that the government had failed to set up the demobilization<br />
camps as agreed.<br />
Following the FARC's unilateral ceasefire in July 2015, as well<br />
as the bilateral ceasefire in June, violence between both parties<br />
significantly decreased compared to last year. However,<br />
113<br />
several violent encounters in the departments of Meta, Caquetá,<br />
and Bolívar resulted in at least six fatalities. For instance,<br />
on April 20, an alleged FARC sniper killed a soldier in<br />
Florencia, Caquetá. On July 12, three FARC members were injured<br />
in aconfrontation with government troops in La Uribe,<br />
Meta, constituting the first incident after the bilateral ceasefire<br />
had taken effect. On November 17, security forces killed<br />
two FARC members outside the ZVTN during an operation in<br />
Santa Rosa, Bolívar, claiming that they had mistaken them for<br />
members of the National Liberation Army [→ Colombia (ELN)].<br />
Throughout the year, several FARC members deserted or split<br />
off from the organization in disapproval of the peace process.<br />
For example, on July 7, members of the FARC's First Front,<br />
mainly operating in the departments of Guaviare and Vaupés,<br />
announced they would refuse to demobilize and take part in<br />
the peace process.<br />
In response, the FARC expelled the unit. Authorities blamed<br />
the First Front for a series of attacks throughout the second<br />
half of the year, such as the launching ofamotorcycle bomb in<br />
El Retorno, Guaviare, on August 11, which left two policemen<br />
and three civilians injured. On plebiscite day, the First Front<br />
reportedly set off an explosive device at a polling station<br />
in Barranquillita, Guaviare. On December 13, the FARC announced<br />
the removal of five ofits commanders, among them<br />
aliases Gentil Duarte and John 40, for their refusal to disarm.<br />
''Gentil Duarte” became leader of the First Front, whereas<br />
''John 40” reportedly aligned himself with Los Urabeños [→<br />
Colombia (neo-paramilitary groups, drug cartels)]. Overall, up<br />
to 300 FARC members reportedly deserted after the rejection<br />
of the first peace deal in the plebiscite. okl<br />
COLOMBIA (INTER-CARTEL VIOLENCE,<br />
NEO-PARAMILITARY GROUPS, LEFT-WING<br />
MILITANTS)<br />
Intensity: 4 | Change: | Start: 2013<br />
Conflict parties: Los Urabeños vs. Los Rastrojos vs.<br />
Bloque Meta vs. Libertadores del<br />
Vichada vs. FARC vs. ELN<br />
Conflict items: subnational predominance, resources<br />
The limited war over subnational predominance and resources<br />
between several neo-paramilitary groups, drug cartels<br />
as well as the left-wing guerrillas National Liberation<br />
Army (ELN) and Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia<br />
(FARC), continued.<br />
The groups fought for control over territory, drug production<br />
and trafficking routes as well as the illegal exploitation of<br />
resources such as gold. Another point of contention was the<br />
control over local populations for extortion purposes.<br />
As the peace negotiations between the FARC and the gov-