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ConflictBarometer_2016

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THE AMERICAS<br />

20 transitory demilitarization areas (ZVTN) and seven camps,<br />

with the FARC being granted one week to arrive in these areas<br />

and an additional six months after the ratification of the<br />

peace deal to relinquish their weapons. Additionally, each<br />

area was to be surrounded by a one-kilometer security zone<br />

in which neither FARC members nor military forces were allowed<br />

to be present. A UN mission requested by both parties<br />

was to supervise the process and to collect the weapons<br />

as well as to guarantee the safety of disarmed FARC members.<br />

Furthermore, the agreement included amnesty for FARC<br />

members accused of political and related crimes. FARC members<br />

who committed war crimes would participate in a transitional<br />

justice mechanism and face reduced prison sentences<br />

or community service of up to eight years if they confessed.<br />

Between January and May, both conflict parties granted a series<br />

of concessions. For instance, the government released 16<br />

of 30 imprisoned FARC members pardoned by President Juan<br />

Manuel Santos the previous year, whereas the FARC refrained<br />

from recruiting minors and released 170 members under the<br />

age of 14 from their ranks. On June 2, Congress passed a<br />

law shielding the future peace agreement from alterations by<br />

subsequent administrations. Santos and FARC leader Rodrigo<br />

Londoño alias Timochenko announcedabilateral ceasefire in<br />

an event in Havana on June 23, which was attended by UNSG<br />

Ban Ki-moon as well as several high-level state representatives.<br />

The Constitutional Court approved the plebiscite to validate<br />

the peace agreement on July 18. On September 26, Santos<br />

and Londoño formally signed the peace deal in Cartagena.<br />

In the run-up to the plebiscite, opponents of the peace<br />

deal launched a 'No'-campaign spearheaded by former president<br />

and leader of the Democratic Center party, Álvaro Uribe.<br />

Among their main criticisms were alleged impunity for FARC<br />

members, the possibility for FARC members to run for political<br />

office, and insufficient measures for victim reparations.<br />

In the plebiscite on October 2, voters rejected the peace deal<br />

by a 50.2 percent to 49.8 percent margin with an electoral<br />

turnout of about 38 percent. In reaction to the plebiscite<br />

results, tens of thousands of people in different cities took<br />

to the streets, demonstrating their support for the proposed<br />

peace deal. Santos held several rounds of negotiations with<br />

the FARC and 'No'-campaign representatives to discuss possible<br />

amendments. On October 15, Santos extended the ceasefire<br />

until the end of the year. On November 12, the government<br />

and the FARC agreed on amodified accord incorporating<br />

over 50 changes, such as the FARC's obligation to proclaim<br />

their assets to the government in order to use them for compensating<br />

victims. Opponents criticized the new agreement<br />

as insufficient and too lenient with the FARC. On November<br />

24, Santos and Londoño signed the revised peace deal in the<br />

capital Bogotá, which was approved by Congress on December<br />

1. The Constitutional Court approved the peace deal on<br />

December 13. On December 28, Congress passed the law<br />

granting amnesty to FARC members. One day later, the UN<br />

Mission to Colombia announced it would extend the deadline<br />

of the FARC's demobilization until January 2017, stating<br />

that the government had failed to set up the demobilization<br />

camps as agreed.<br />

Following the FARC's unilateral ceasefire in July 2015, as well<br />

as the bilateral ceasefire in June, violence between both parties<br />

significantly decreased compared to last year. However,<br />

113<br />

several violent encounters in the departments of Meta, Caquetá,<br />

and Bolívar resulted in at least six fatalities. For instance,<br />

on April 20, an alleged FARC sniper killed a soldier in<br />

Florencia, Caquetá. On July 12, three FARC members were injured<br />

in aconfrontation with government troops in La Uribe,<br />

Meta, constituting the first incident after the bilateral ceasefire<br />

had taken effect. On November 17, security forces killed<br />

two FARC members outside the ZVTN during an operation in<br />

Santa Rosa, Bolívar, claiming that they had mistaken them for<br />

members of the National Liberation Army [→ Colombia (ELN)].<br />

Throughout the year, several FARC members deserted or split<br />

off from the organization in disapproval of the peace process.<br />

For example, on July 7, members of the FARC's First Front,<br />

mainly operating in the departments of Guaviare and Vaupés,<br />

announced they would refuse to demobilize and take part in<br />

the peace process.<br />

In response, the FARC expelled the unit. Authorities blamed<br />

the First Front for a series of attacks throughout the second<br />

half of the year, such as the launching ofamotorcycle bomb in<br />

El Retorno, Guaviare, on August 11, which left two policemen<br />

and three civilians injured. On plebiscite day, the First Front<br />

reportedly set off an explosive device at a polling station<br />

in Barranquillita, Guaviare. On December 13, the FARC announced<br />

the removal of five ofits commanders, among them<br />

aliases Gentil Duarte and John 40, for their refusal to disarm.<br />

''Gentil Duarte” became leader of the First Front, whereas<br />

''John 40” reportedly aligned himself with Los Urabeños [→<br />

Colombia (neo-paramilitary groups, drug cartels)]. Overall, up<br />

to 300 FARC members reportedly deserted after the rejection<br />

of the first peace deal in the plebiscite. okl<br />

COLOMBIA (INTER-CARTEL VIOLENCE,<br />

NEO-PARAMILITARY GROUPS, LEFT-WING<br />

MILITANTS)<br />

Intensity: 4 | Change: | Start: 2013<br />

Conflict parties: Los Urabeños vs. Los Rastrojos vs.<br />

Bloque Meta vs. Libertadores del<br />

Vichada vs. FARC vs. ELN<br />

Conflict items: subnational predominance, resources<br />

The limited war over subnational predominance and resources<br />

between several neo-paramilitary groups, drug cartels<br />

as well as the left-wing guerrillas National Liberation<br />

Army (ELN) and Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia<br />

(FARC), continued.<br />

The groups fought for control over territory, drug production<br />

and trafficking routes as well as the illegal exploitation of<br />

resources such as gold. Another point of contention was the<br />

control over local populations for extortion purposes.<br />

As the peace negotiations between the FARC and the gov-

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