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ConflictBarometer_2016

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ASIA AND OCEANIA<br />

mine against the resumption of production that the Chinese<br />

company Wanbao Mining and the semi-state owned Union<br />

of Myanmar Economic Holdings Ltd. had announced in mid-<br />

February. Farmers claimed that the company had not implemented<br />

governmental recommendations. Police arrested<br />

two of their leaders for unlawful assembly. On September 5,<br />

protesters met with Sagaing officials to discuss the situation<br />

and compensation issues.<br />

On June 4, about 40 activists staged a protest in Myitkina<br />

township, Kachin State, against renewed talks between<br />

Kachin state officials, the Chinese ambassador, and arepresentative<br />

of the China Power Investment Company, regarding<br />

the resumption of the dam construction activities at the<br />

Irrawaddy river. The demonstrators demanded the abandonment<br />

of the project, which would require the resettlement<br />

of approx. 18,000 persons. On August 12, President Htin<br />

Kyaw formed a new commission to review these hydropower<br />

projects. nro, kra<br />

MYANMAR (TNLA / SHAN STATE)<br />

Intensity: 4 | Change: | Start: 2013<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

TNLA vs. government<br />

Conflict items: subnational predominance, resources<br />

gaged in confrontations in various locations. For example, on<br />

August 25, TNLA clashed with the military in Namkham township,<br />

after Tatmadaw forces had allegedly attacked patrolling<br />

TNLA members. One combatant and two civilians were injured<br />

in the subsequent clash.<br />

The number of clashes decreased in August before the 21st<br />

Century Panglong Conference, a preliminary conference for<br />

future peace negotiations between certain ethnic armed<br />

groups and the government [→ Myanmar (UNFC)].<br />

However, only two months later, the conflict reignited. Starting<br />

on November 22, TNLA supported by the Kachin Independence<br />

Army, Myanmar Nationalities Democratic Alliance<br />

Army, and the Arakan Army launched acoordinated attack<br />

against at least ten police and military posts and infrastructure<br />

in Muse and Kutkai townships. At least 14 people were<br />

killed, 50 injured, 2,000 internally displaced, and 3,000 fled<br />

to China [→ Myanmar (KIA, KIO), Myanmar (MNDAA / Shan<br />

State)]. The allies, referring to themselves as Northern Alliance<br />

(NA), demanded an end to Tatmadaw operations in<br />

areas controlled by the NA. Despite considerations to classify<br />

the NA a ''terrorist organization'', the National Reconciliation<br />

and Peace Center mediated talks between the government<br />

and NA representatives throughout December in order to explore<br />

options to stop the fighting.<br />

On March 14 and 21, Tatmadaw forces arrested over 120<br />

civilians for allegedly supporting the TNLA in Kutkai township.<br />

The detained, of whom eight were supposedly tortured,<br />

were released a few days later.<br />

Throughout the year, several allegations emerged, accusing<br />

Tatmadaw forces of using civilians as human shields. On June<br />

25, the Rangoon Division Government banned a report by the<br />

Ta'ang Women's Organization regarding these allegations. nro<br />

MYANMAR (TNLA, RCSS/SHAN STATE)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2015<br />

The violent conflict between the Ta'ang National Liberation<br />

Army (TNLA) and the government over subnational predominance<br />

and the production and trade of poppy in the Palaung<br />

Self-Administered Zone escalated to alimited war.<br />

The TNLA continued to fight the widespread cultivation of<br />

poppy and the distribution ofits derivatives throughout the<br />

Palaung Self-Administered Zone, Shan State, stating that it<br />

was harming the ethnic group of the Palaung, also known as<br />

Ta'ang. Furthermore, the TNLA demanded the end of military<br />

operations in areas it controlled and an all inclusive political<br />

dialog over peace negotiations.<br />

However, clashes between the TNLA and government forces,<br />

the Tatmadaw, intensified throughout the year, resulting in at<br />

least 55 fatalities and 110 injured. At least 12,000 people<br />

were internally displaced and further 3,000 fled to China.<br />

On February 16, TNLA forces started clearing poppy fields in<br />

Namhsan and Kutkai townships. Two days later, the Tatmadaw<br />

launched several airstrikes against this operation in Namkhan<br />

and Namhsan townships, using two helicopters and allegedly<br />

one fighter jet. One TNLA fighter was left injured.<br />

During the following months, TNLA and Tatmadaw forces en-<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

TNLA vs. RCSS et al.<br />

subnational predominance<br />

The violent conflict over subnational predominance between<br />

the Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) and the Restoration<br />

Council of Shan State (RCSS) continued.<br />

The conflict had erupted in November 2015 when RCSS forces<br />

had allegedly entered TNLA-controlled territory, the Palaung<br />

Self-Administered Zone, Shan State, without warning, shortly<br />

after signing the nationwide ceasefire agreement with the<br />

government [→ Myanmar (UNFC)]. However, RCSS claimed<br />

that it was in control of the disputed territory since 2008.<br />

In the course of the year, numerous clashes between TNLA<br />

and RCSS left at least 20 dead and 4,650 internally displaced.<br />

On February 7, RCSS forces attacked a TNLA base in Lotnaw<br />

village, Namhkam township. Heavy shelling between both<br />

groups left at least one combattant dead, one civilian injured,<br />

and the 1,500 inhabitants internally displaced. Meanwhile,<br />

TNLA and RCSS forces clashed in Kyaukme and Namhsan<br />

townships, leaving at least three civilians injured, approx.<br />

300 civilians internally displaced, and one house destroyed.<br />

In early May, TNLA and RCSS forces clashed in Namkham,<br />

153

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