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ConflictBarometer_2016

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SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA<br />

to strengthen Ouattara's power. Six days later, the police used<br />

teargas to disperse 50 people protesting against the draft in<br />

the capital Abidjan and allegedly beat up several. On October<br />

30, according to the Independent Electoral Commission, approx.<br />

93 percent voted in favor of the new constitution with<br />

an electoral turnout of about 42 percent. N'Guessan rejected<br />

the announced results, claiming that the voter turnout had<br />

been less than ten percent. On the day of the referendum,<br />

supposed opposition supporters attacked several polling stations<br />

in Abidjan as well as in the districts of Gôh-Djiboua, Lagunes<br />

and Montagnes, where they stole voting materials, allegedly<br />

trying to prevent people from voting.<br />

On January 28, the trial against former president Laurent<br />

Gbagbo and his ex-minister Charles Blé Goudé started at the<br />

ICC in The Hague, Netherlands, where they were charged<br />

with crimes against humanity allegedly committed during<br />

the post-electoral violence from 12/16/10 until 04/12/11 in<br />

Abidjan. Moreover, for the same charges, a trial against Simone<br />

Gbagbo, former FPI chairman, at the Assize Court in<br />

Abidjan began, on May 30. jwi<br />

DR CONGO (ADF)<br />

Intensity: 4 | Change: | Start: 1995<br />

Conflict parties: ADF vs. government<br />

Conflict items: subnational predominance, resources<br />

The conflict over subnational predominance and resources<br />

between the Islamist Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) and the<br />

government, supported by MONUSCO, continued as a limited<br />

war. Having originated in Uganda, the armed group now<br />

solely operated on DR Congo's (DRC) territory. ADF activities<br />

concentrated in the northern Beni territory, North Kivu<br />

province, and Irumu territory, Ituri province, close to the Congolese<br />

border with Uganda. ADF continued to kill civilians<br />

and extort goods from the population. The UN Group of<br />

Experts for the DRC and other analysts found no evidence<br />

for sustained links between ADF and international jihadist<br />

groups. Due to military offensive by the Congolese Armed<br />

Forces (FARDC), the estimated number of about 800 to 1,500<br />

armed fighters in early 2014 was substantially reduced to a<br />

few hundred in <strong>2016</strong>. After the arrest oflong-time leader<br />

Jamil Mukuli in April 2015, the group had lost its central<br />

leadership and reorganized its remaining fighters in small,<br />

decentralised groups in Beni and Irumu Territories.<br />

Throughout the year, ADF repeatedly attacked FARDC and<br />

MONUSCO positions in Beni Territory, while the latter continued<br />

their offensive against the group. Especially the so-called<br />

''death triangle'' between Eringeti, Kamango and Mbau was<br />

affected by the fighting. At least 91 alleged ADF fighters and<br />

22 FARDC soldiers were killed. Moreover, approx. 80 alleged<br />

ADF fighters were arrested. At least four soldiers and four<br />

67<br />

ADF fighters were killed in several ADF attacks in January. On<br />

February 6, around 20 ADF fighters attacked a FARDC position<br />

in Mayimoya region, Beni. FARDC repulsed the attack<br />

killing three assailants. MONUSCO and FARDC resumed joint<br />

actions against the group in February, after MONUSCO had<br />

ceased the cooperation in 2015 due to allegations of human<br />

rights abuses by FARDC members. In March, MONUSCO repeatedly<br />

supported FARDC forces with combat helicopters.<br />

At least six alleged militants and three FARDC soldiers were<br />

killed the same month. On May 14, FARDC and MONUSCO<br />

announced the start of operation ''Usalama” against ADF.<br />

In the course of the operation, at least 37 ADF fighters, including<br />

deputy commander Hood Lukwago, and five FARDC<br />

soldiers were killed in Beni and Irumi Territories by the end<br />

of June. On July 5, alleged ADF fighters killed nine civilians in<br />

the towns of Tenambo, Nzanza and Mamiki near Oicha, Beni.<br />

Subsequently, FARDC and MONUSCO deployed troops to the<br />

villages and killed eight attackers. Eight days later, FARDC<br />

forces, in collaboration with MONUSCO, killed six alleged<br />

ADF rebels in Kokola, Beni. On July 31, alleged ADF fighters<br />

killed two civilians, two Congolese soldiers and injured<br />

one MONUSCO soldier in Oicha, Beni. FARDC, supported by<br />

MONUSCO, repulsed the attack and killed three alleged ADF<br />

members. The same day, FARDC took over control of the ADF<br />

stronghold in Mwalika, near Beni town, without fighting. On<br />

August 8, alleged ADF fighters attacked a MONUSCO helicopter<br />

wounding six soldiers in Beni Territory. Two civilians,<br />

two FARDC soldiers and two ADF militants were killed on the<br />

road between Beni and Kasindi on September 27. On October<br />

9, alleged ADF fighters killed seven civilians and a FARDC<br />

officer in an attack on an army post near Beni town.Two ADF<br />

fighters were killed during the attack. Nine alleged ADF fighters<br />

and one FARDC soldier were killed in November during<br />

various ADF attacks in Beni Territory. On December 16, FARDC<br />

and MONUSCO repulsed two simultaneous attacks by alleged<br />

ADF fighters at Nadwi village and a former ADF stronghold in<br />

Beni Territory leaving four FARDC soldiers injured and seven<br />

alleged ADF militants killed. On December 24, FARDC killed<br />

four alleged ADF fighters in Mayiomya, Beni.<br />

As in the previous two years, alleged ADF fighters attacked<br />

villages and killed civilians in Beni Territory. At least 157 civilians<br />

were killed, 37 injured and 32,000 displaced. In addition,<br />

more than 100 houses were burned down and several health<br />

centers looted. However, a report was published in March<br />

suggesting that in addition to ADF, local militias, including<br />

Mayi-Mayi and members of the former ''Rally for Congolese<br />

Democracy” were also responsible for some of the killings [→<br />

DR Congo (Mayi-Mayi et al.)]. The report further stated that<br />

members of FARDC were also involved in killings in Beni. On<br />

February 14, alleged ADF fighters killed at least 16 civilians<br />

in Kambi Ya Chui village. During a similar attack on February<br />

29, 14 people were killed, 23 houses burnt down and four<br />

people kidnapped in Mambabio-Ntombi village. On May 3,<br />

alleged ADF fighters attacked Luna village with machetes and<br />

axes killing at least 16 people and injuring seven. Following<br />

the attack, around 1,500 people fled the area towards Ituri<br />

Province. The deadliest attack occurred on August 13, when<br />

alleged ADF fighters killed between 36 and 64 civilians in<br />

Beni town's Rwangoma district. Following the latest killings<br />

of civilians in Beni, locals protested in Beni town demanding<br />

the end of violence. Police dispersed the demonstration

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