ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
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SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA<br />
clashed. The fighting lasted for two days and killed 43 people<br />
with both sides using heavy weaponry. On November 15,<br />
the UNSC extended the mandate of UNISFA until 05/15/17<br />
in reaction to the ongoing violence in Abyei as well as the<br />
disagreement over the border demarcation between Sudan<br />
and South Sudan. The lack of local administration structures<br />
deteriorated the food situation, forcing many thousands into<br />
Sudan. nbm<br />
SWAZILAND (OPPOSITION)<br />
Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1998<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
PODEMO, SNUS, TUCOSWA, SNAT et<br />
al. vs. government<br />
system/ideology, national power<br />
The system and national power conflict between the People's<br />
United Democratic Movement (PUDEMO), the Swaziland National<br />
Association of Teachers (SNAT), the Swaziland National<br />
Union of Students (SNUS), the Trade Union Congress of Swaziland<br />
(TUCOSWA) and several other opposition groups on the<br />
one hand, and King Mswati III on the other, continued on a<br />
violent level. Major issues were corruption, the higher education<br />
system, and wage policy.<br />
The king had banned parties and unions in 1973. The 2006<br />
constitution further guaranteed his absolute rights. In the<br />
past years, several demonstrations and clashes between opposition<br />
groups and the police took place. On February 3, 300<br />
SNAT protesters blocked roads, demanding the government<br />
to publish the salary review report on civil servants in the capital<br />
Mbabane, Hhohho district. Police arrested two protesters.<br />
1,500 trade union members staged protests for the same purpose<br />
on February 25, also in Mbabane. The demanded review<br />
report was published the following week.<br />
SNUS members boycotted lectures and allegedly vandalized<br />
the University of Swaziland on February 22. Policemen drove<br />
a Casspir troop transporter into a group of students, heavily<br />
injuring one but taking her to the hospital immediately. On<br />
October 12, police fired at least six shots on 200 demonstrating<br />
students of Limkokwing University of Creative Technology<br />
in Mbabane and injured four.<br />
On August 28, police shot in the air outside the Plantation<br />
Forestry Company in Hhohho to disperse striking farm workers<br />
who demanded a wage increase. On September 9, police<br />
assaulted six farm workers, allegedly while forcing them to<br />
write statements that they had fired the shots in August. len<br />
hand, and the ruling Party of the Revolution (CCM), on the<br />
other, continued. While CUF challenged the national power<br />
of CCM in the semi-autonomous region of Zanzibar, Chadema<br />
did so on the mainland.<br />
The first major issue was the re-run of the general elections<br />
in Zanzibar on March 20 after the Zanzibar Electoral Committee<br />
had nullified the results of the Zanzibar elections on<br />
10/25/15. The second issue was Chadema declaring to challenge<br />
the alleged suppression of democracy by the government<br />
of the new President John Magufuli.<br />
On January 28, CUF called the nullification of the Zanzibar<br />
election results of 2015 unconstitutional and declared to<br />
boycott the re-run of the election. The CUF's presidential candidate<br />
had claimed to have won the elections. On February<br />
2, a district councillor of the CUF was murdered by assassins<br />
using traditional weapons including swords. The opposition<br />
linked the killing to the councillor's local human rights engagement.<br />
On March 4, an IED went off in Kisonge, Zanzibar<br />
Central/South, destroying a CCM office. In the following<br />
eleven days, five CUF offices, meeting places, and private<br />
houses throughout Zanzibar were torched. On March 14, the<br />
house of the Zanzibar police commissioner was attacked with<br />
an IED, after CUF had claimed that CCM would use security<br />
organs to safeguard its interests and intimidate CUF supporters.<br />
CCM was declared the clear winner of the re-election in<br />
Zanzibar on March 20. This declaration was rejected by CUF<br />
on April 4. The opposition party called for passive resistance<br />
against the new government.<br />
On May 22, CUF announced to take legal action against the<br />
Inspector General of Police and the Minister of Home Affairs<br />
at the High Court for atrocities committed by police and other<br />
security organs against CUF supporters during last year's election.<br />
In the beginning of June, Chadema announced rallies<br />
against President Magufuli. On June 7, an anti-government<br />
protest was dispersed by police using tear gas and arresting<br />
several opposition politicians in the largest city Dar es<br />
Salaam. Subsequently, further opposition protests were<br />
banned. On July 28, Chadema called for countrywide demonstrations<br />
against the government on September 1. President<br />
Magufuli responded immediately by threatening to use force<br />
against ''troublemakers”. However, two days later, he ended<br />
his ban on political rallies by the opposition while still holding<br />
on to his prohibition of the September 1 protest, which<br />
was ignored by Chadema. On August 24, four police officers<br />
were shot dead in Dar es Salaam. CCM accused Chadema of<br />
the killings, who denied this and in return accused CCM of<br />
using the case to justify raids against the opposition party.<br />
Chadema cancelled the countrywide demonstrations scheduled<br />
for September 1. jsp<br />
TANZANIA (CHADEMA, CUF – CCM)<br />
Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1993<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
CUF, Chadema vs. government<br />
system/ideology, national power<br />
The violent crisis over the political system and national power<br />
between the opposition parties Civic United Front (CUF) and<br />
Party for Democracy and Progress (Chadema), on the one<br />
97<br />
UGANDA (BAGANDA / BUGANDA)<br />
Intensity: 1 | Change: | Start: 1995<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
Kingdom of Buganda vs. government<br />
autonomy, other<br />
The dispute over autonomy between the Kingdom of Buganda<br />
of the Baganda people and the government continued. As in