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ConflictBarometer_2016

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EUROPE<br />

sia, on the other, continued.<br />

The UN and several human rights organizations criticized the<br />

human rights situation, particularly with regard to the situation<br />

of the Crimean Tatars, on various occasions. Their right<br />

of self-determination, for instance, was further restricted. On<br />

March 13, Crimean authorities declared the Mejlis of the<br />

Crimean Tatar people, an executive and representative institution<br />

of the community, an extremist organization and<br />

banned its activity in Crimea and Russia. On May 26, Crimea's<br />

Supreme Court ratified this decision, which was confirmed by<br />

Russia's Supreme Court on September 29. On May 12, the<br />

Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) arrested Ilmi Umerov,<br />

a deputy chairman of the Mejlis, who was accused of making<br />

''public calls and actions aimed at undermining the territorial<br />

integrity of the Russian Federation.” Moreover, at least<br />

eleven Crimean Tatars were arrested for their membership in<br />

the Hizb-ut-Tahrir organization, which is illegal under Russian,<br />

but not Ukrainian law.<br />

On several occasions, groups of Crimean Tatars were subjected<br />

to temporary detentions. On April 1, armed and<br />

masked men stormed acafé in Pionerske, destroyed furniture<br />

and temporarily detained 35 Crimean Tatars. In addition,<br />

security forces stormed a mosque in Molodizhne and<br />

arrested around 100 people on May 6. The police released<br />

them afterafew hours ofinterrogation. On March 7, the Simferopol<br />

city administration prohibited all public rallies and<br />

events not organized by the authorities, thereby further restricting<br />

the freedom of assembly of minorities, including the<br />

Crimean Tatar community.<br />

Abductions of Crimean Tatars allegedly due to political motivations<br />

continued in <strong>2016</strong>. On May 24, a group of men abducted<br />

Crimean Tatar activist Ervin Ibragimov in front of his<br />

house in Bakhchysarai. The UN repeatedly called on Crimean<br />

authorities to investigate this and similar cases in previous<br />

years, but to date no one was held accountable. bew<br />

UKRAINE (DONBAS)<br />

Intensity: 5 | Change: | Start: 2014<br />

Conflict parties: DPR, LPR vs. government, Volunteer<br />

battalions<br />

Conflict items: secession, system/ideology, resources<br />

The war over secession, the orientation of the political system,<br />

and resources in the Donbas region between several militant<br />

anti-government groups, including the self-proclaimed<br />

Donetsk (DPR) and Luhansk (LPR) People's Republics supported<br />

by Russia, on the one hand, and the Ukrainian government,<br />

supported by Western countries, as well as more than<br />

ten mostly nationalist volunteer battalions, on the other, continued.<br />

The affected region was comprised of Donetsk and<br />

50<br />

Luhansk oblasts in eastern Ukraine.<br />

According to the UN, 9,758 people were killed and 22,779<br />

injured since the beginning of the conflict in April 2014 until<br />

early December this year. This year, 83 civilians were killed<br />

and 305 injured as a result of shelling and mine explosions,<br />

marking a notable decrease compared to last year. The number<br />

offatalities was significantly higher in LPR and DPR than<br />

in government-controlled territories. Unlike previous years,<br />

the Ukrainian Armed Forces (ZSU) did not lose territories to<br />

the militants and retook positions in the area of Svitlodarsk,<br />

Donetsk oblast, in December. The government reported that<br />

211 soldiers were killed and approx. 1,300 injured in <strong>2016</strong>,<br />

while at least 100militants were killed. Reportedly, between<br />

488 and 1,376 people went missing. Approx. 106,000 inhabitants<br />

were internally displaced, significantly less than in<br />

the two previous years. Furthermore, residential areas and<br />

infrastructure were heavily damaged. Civilians suffered from<br />

restrictions offreedom of movement and speech, as well as<br />

lack offood, water, energy, and shelter. International organizations<br />

highlighted that the humanitarian situation remained<br />

serious and held both sides accountable. In addition, eleven<br />

convoys, allegedly transporting humanitarian aid from Russia,<br />

arrived in Donbas. Like in earlier years, the government<br />

accused Russia of supplying DPR and LPR with weapons [→<br />

Russia–Ukraine].<br />

Throughout the year, both sides blamed each other for<br />

committing war crimes, breaking the ceasefires, and using<br />

weapons banned under the terms of the Minsk II Agreement.<br />

The parties agreed on several ceasefires, which both sides<br />

violated frequently. From the second half of January onward,<br />

ceasefire violations and fighting intensified until the end of<br />

March. For instance, on February 16, SMM counted 159 explosions,<br />

37 bursts, and 127 single shots at the railway station<br />

in Donetsk, eponymous oblast. In Luhansk oblast, SMM<br />

reported 49 explosions. On February 22, SMM observed a<br />

total of 794 ceasefire violations in Donetsk oblast. Two days<br />

later, the monitoring mission recorded 91 undetermined explosions,<br />

190 bursts of small arms, and machine gunfire on<br />

their position at the railway station in Donetsk. On March<br />

1, three soldiers were killed and two wounded when their<br />

car hit an anti-personnel mine near the villages of Novotoshkivske,<br />

Luhansk oblast. Despite regular ceasefire violations,<br />

the number of casualties remained relatively low in the<br />

first three months of the year.<br />

Violence, however, increased in April. On April 14, SMM<br />

recorded over 4,000 ceasefire violations, among them 500<br />

explosions in the Avdiivka-Yasynuvata areas, Donetsk oblast.<br />

On April 27, four civilians were killed in shellings from 122<br />

mm artillery at the DPR checkpoint near Olenivka, Donetsk<br />

oblast. Two days later, the Trilateral Contact Group consisting<br />

of representatives of Russia, Ukraine, and the OSCE agreed<br />

on aceasefire during the Orthodox Easter weekend, starting<br />

from April 30. The same night, ZSU forces clashed with<br />

DPR and LPR militants in different locations in Donetsk oblast,<br />

which left two militants and one soldier dead as well as seven<br />

soldiers wounded. On May 23, seven soldiers were killed and<br />

nine wounded by shellings and IEDs, marking the highest<br />

number offatalities since autumn 2015. Four days later, an<br />

SMM drone was shot down over DPR-controlled Ozerianivka,<br />

Donetsk oblast. At least eight soldiers were killed and twelve<br />

injured in clashes near Donetsk and Mariupol on May 29 and

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