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ConflictBarometer_2016

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THE AMERICAS<br />

Morales, declared that his office would examine the involvement<br />

of security forces in 30 murder cases of so-called death<br />

squads. One month later, General Attorney Douglas Meléndez<br />

testified the existence of a murder-for-hire network, including<br />

at least six police officers. Between 2014 and 2015,<br />

the network had allegedly killed eleven gang members.<br />

In order to fight the cross-border gang activities, the government<br />

also intensified its cooperation with Honduran and<br />

Guatemalan authorities during the year. On August 23, President<br />

Cerén, Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández<br />

and Guatemalan President Jimmy Morales signed the ''Regional<br />

Plan Against Transnational Organized Crime'' after the<br />

attorney generals of the Northern Triangle countries had met<br />

two weeks before to discuss possibilities of cooperation [→<br />

Honduras (drug trafficking organizations, organized crime);<br />

Guatemala (drug cartels)].<br />

Combined military and police forces of all three countries<br />

conducted the first multilateral operation on November 15 in<br />

the Honduran border region Ocotepeque. sen<br />

GUATEMALA – BELIZE (TERRITORY)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1981<br />

The conflict between Guatemala and Belize over more than<br />

half of the Belizean mainland territory, covering the area from<br />

the Sibun River south to the Sarstoon border river, escalated<br />

to a violent crisis. Since Belize's independence in 1981,<br />

Guatemala had upheld claims referring to the colonial territory<br />

of former British Honduras.<br />

On March 12, a standoff between two vessels of the<br />

Guatemalan Armed Forces (GAF) approaching a Belizean Forward<br />

Operating Base on the Sarstoon River, and a boat of the<br />

Belize Defense Force (BDF) ended non-violently. Following<br />

the incident, the Belizean government referred to the conflict<br />

as being ''at an all-time high”.<br />

During a bilateral meeting on April 8, Guatemala rejected an<br />

eleven-point-proposal presented by Belize. It aimed at reducing<br />

tensions by permitting both countries to ship on the<br />

Sarstoon River and called upon both sides to refrain from<br />

''threatening, abusive, or unfriendly actions”.<br />

On April 20, a Guatemalan minor was shot dead and another<br />

two people were injured in the Belizean Chiquibul National<br />

Park, Cayo district, which borders Guatemala. In response to<br />

the killing, Guatemalan President Jimmy Morales deployed<br />

3,000 troops to the border the following day. According to<br />

an OAS report released on August 26, not BDF officers but<br />

members of a Belizean conservation group had killed the minor<br />

in an alleged act of self-defense. Morales rejected the<br />

findings on September 5. On May 14, BDF shot and injured a<br />

Guatemalan citizen and arrested two as they presumably carried<br />

out illegal gold mining activities in the Chiquibul National<br />

Park.<br />

Nine days later, Belize and Guatemala held a first round of<br />

talks about the border dispute during the World Humanitarian<br />

Summit in Istanbul, Turkey. The two parties agreed on launching<br />

negotiations starting in June in order to elaborate the<br />

terms of a possible cooperation mechanism for the Sarstoon<br />

River area. Reconciliation efforts were hampered when two<br />

days later, eight Belizean nationals were arrested on the<br />

peninsula Punta Manabique, Itzabal department, close to the<br />

border, on charges of having illegally entered Guatemala. On<br />

June 16, nine GAF soldiers stopped a Belizean boat navigating<br />

on the Sarstoon River and requested them to leave supposed<br />

Guatemalan waters.<br />

A BDF patrol came under fire on September 3, while it<br />

approached an illegal camp of Guatemalan settlers in the<br />

Chiquibul National Park approx. 260 meters from the border.<br />

The BDF officers returned fire. The incident, however, did<br />

not cause fatalities. On October 17, a GAF patrol arrested six<br />

Belizean nationals fishing in the adjacent Gulf of Honduras.<br />

According to Guatemalan sources the Belizeans had illegally<br />

entered Guatemalan waters, while Belizean sources claimed<br />

that GAF officers had towed the fishermen into Guatemalan<br />

territory to arrest them.<br />

Following a 2008 agreement to hold referenda in both countries<br />

on whether the territorial dispute should be submitted<br />

to the International Court of Justice (ICJ), the Belizean<br />

congress on December 29 passed the legislation necessary<br />

for implementation. tle<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

Guatemala vs. Belize<br />

territory<br />

HAITI (OPPOSITION)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1986<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

opposition groups vs. government<br />

national power<br />

The violent crisis over national power between several opposition<br />

parties, including Fanmi Lavalas, the Haitian Party<br />

Tèt Kale (PHTK), Pitit Dessalines, and the Alternative League<br />

for Haitian Progress and Empowerment (LAPEH), and the<br />

government continued. Throughout January, the G8 Mobilization<br />

Table, a coalition of eight prominent opposition<br />

parties, held several demonstrations in the capital Port-au-<br />

Prince. They demanded President Michel Martelly's resignation<br />

and protested against holding the second round of presidential<br />

elections, scheduled for January 24, due to alleged<br />

widespread corruption in the electoral process. Six demonstrations<br />

escalated in January, with protesters throwing rocks<br />

and setting up barricades and police answering with tear gas<br />

and water cannon. The clashes left at least two injured. Additionally,<br />

unidentified armed men torched three electoral offices<br />

and an office of the Repons Peyizan pro-government<br />

party on January 17 and January 26, respectively.<br />

After the cancellation of the second round of presidential<br />

elections due to alleged security concerns, the executive and<br />

legislative branches of power reached a political agreement<br />

on February 6. The agreement foresaw the termination of<br />

Martelly's term the following day and the appointment of<br />

a provisional president by the National Assembly. Six days<br />

later, Jocelerme Privert of Fanmi Lavalas was elected provisional<br />

president.<br />

Under Privert's administration, supporters of Martelly's PHTK<br />

clashed with the police on at least five occasions. On May 14,<br />

117

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