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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report DRAFT 9/14/2006<br />

Additionally, traders can avoid price restrictions by synthetically shorting in the option<br />

market rather than shorting the stock. 12 To measure the extent to which price restrictions drive<br />

short sellers to the option market, we compare option market trading activity for pilot and control<br />

stocks. We find no evidence that short sale price restrictions in equities have an impact on<br />

option trading or open interest. 13<br />

Regardless of whether price restrictions have any substantive impact on overall market<br />

liquidity or inhibit manipulation, they affect the ability of short sellers to demand liquidity by<br />

getting prompt execution of market orders. For purely mechanical reasons, we would expect<br />

price restrictions to affect the number of trades occurring on downticks vs upticks, and the<br />

percentage of time the market is in an upbid or downbid state. For Listed Stocks, we find that<br />

the application of the tick test results in significantly fewer than 50% of transactions occurring<br />

on downticks or zero downticks, while trading is more balanced when the tick test does not<br />

apply. For Nasdaq NM Stocks, we find that the percentage of time the market is in a downbid<br />

state declines when the bid test is removed, suggesting that downbids occur more regularly when<br />

the bid test applies.<br />

To the extent that price restrictions inhibit the free movement of stock prices, they might<br />

make markets less liquid. On the other hand, because short sellers can rarely execute against a<br />

bid quotation, price restrictions force short sellers to act more like liquidity suppliers than<br />

liquidity demanders. Therefore, removing them might decrease the perceived supply of<br />

liquidity. To test whether price restrictions have a more general impact on liquidity or volatility,<br />

we compare quoted and effective spreads, intraday volatility, and the daily price range across<br />

12 A synthetic short position can be achieved by buying a put option and writing a corresponding call option in the<br />

same security. The term synthetic refers the fact that you can replicate the payoffs of an equity short sale without<br />

actually short selling the equity itself.<br />

13 Open interest is the total number of options contracts that have not yet been closed or fulfilled by delivery.<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 7<br />

DRAFT

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