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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report 2/12/2007<br />

actively traded and less actively traded issues. To examine these questions, we run a series of<br />

regression-based tests of the following form:<br />

9<br />

i = α + ∑ βk k = 1<br />

i × ki + β10 i β11<br />

i<br />

Market Quality Pilot Decile Pilot + Pre Market Quality<br />

where “Market Quality” represents a characteristic of interest such as spreads, depth, or<br />

volatility. The “Decile” variables are indicator variables corresponding to each of the nine lowest<br />

deciles, for two different decile partitions. The first partition ranks stocks by market<br />

capitalization on April 28, 2005. The second partition ranks stocks by annualized turnover in the<br />

Pre-Pilot Period as measured by its average daily share volume divided by its shares outstanding<br />

as of April 28, 2005 and multiplied by 250. In each case, the decile indicators take on a value of<br />

one if the stock falls within the designated decile, and zero otherwise. These partitions allow us<br />

to test whether the price restrictions have a larger impact on certain categories of stocks. In<br />

particular, we examine each β10 + βk to measure whether the pilot has a significant effect on<br />

stocks in decile k.<br />

VI Results and Analysis<br />

A. The Nature of Short Selling<br />

1. Short Selling Activity<br />

Price restrictions may impose costs on short sellers in the form of lower fill rates and<br />

delays on execution. If these costs are economically significant, then we would expect the<br />

removal of the price restrictions to result in increased short selling. We would expect short<br />

selling to increase more for pilot stocks than control stocks if the price restrictions are costly, or<br />

be the same for the pilot and control stocks if price restrictions are not costly.<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 34

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