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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report DRAFT 9/14/2006<br />

Table 14: Changes in Short Selling Activity Across Market Cap and Turnover Deciles<br />

This table shows the marginal effect of the pilot derived from the coefficients from the following daily crosssectional<br />

regressions:<br />

9<br />

Short Selling Volume = α + β Pilot × Decile + β Pilot + β Pre Short Selling Volume<br />

i ∑ k i ki 10 i 11<br />

i<br />

k = 1<br />

Reported is the average sum of β10 + βk. The dependent variable is the number of shares sold short on a day divided<br />

by the total volume on that day. The regressions are estimated on each day during the Pilot Period. The statistical<br />

significance of the coefficients is determined by the distribution of the coefficients. We divide the stocks into<br />

deciles by market cap on May 2, 2005 and by the pre-Pilot turnover where decile 1 contains the smallest stocks and<br />

lowest turnover stocks. **,* indicates that the effect is statistically different from zero at the 1 and 5% level in a<br />

two-tailed test.<br />

Market Capitalization Turnover<br />

Listed Nasdaq Listed Nasdaq<br />

Decile<br />

Lowest -0.26 -1.55** 2.84** 1.44**<br />

2 4.83** 1.68** 2.84** 1.17**<br />

3 1.92** 1.64** 1.45** 1.21**<br />

4 4.38** 1.80** 2.39** 1.91**<br />

5 3.23** 3.23** 1.12** 2.09**<br />

6 3.87** 2.46** 2.57** 1.53**<br />

7 3.36** 3.90** 2.03** 2.12**<br />

8 0.89** 1.03** 1.00** 2.08**<br />

9 1.27** 2.47** 1.61** 1.17**<br />

Highest 0.05 1.28** 3.50** 1.93**<br />

PrePilotControl 0.59** 0.64** 0.60** 0.67**<br />

Average R 2 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.09<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 75<br />

DRAFT

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