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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report DRAFT 9/14/2006<br />

Before comparing the Pre-Pilot Period to the Pilot Period, we first examine whether the<br />

pilot and control samples appear comparable over the Pre-Pilot Period. Table 2 gives this<br />

comparison separately for Listed and Nasdaq NM Stocks. The statistics are daily levels<br />

averaged over the Pre-Pilot Period. We use trade and quote data obtained from the Securities<br />

Industry Automation Corporation (SIAC) to estimate stock volume, price, spread, depth, and<br />

intraday returns, data from the Center for Research in Securities Prices (CRSP) to estimate<br />

market capitalization and daily returns, data from the Option Price Reporting Authority (OPRA)<br />

to estimate option volume and open interest, and the SRO Pilot data to estimate short selling<br />

levels. 47 Short interest, reported monthly, comes from the NYSE, Amex, and Nasdaq. Most of<br />

the measures in Table 2 are qualitatively similar for pilot and control stocks, according to a<br />

statistical t-test run at the 95% and 99% confidence levels (also stated as 5% and 1% significance<br />

levels). This evidence suggests that the two groups are a good match and supports the validity of<br />

further comparison of pilot and control stocks.<br />

The statistics of Table 2 are divided into groups. The first group of statistics measures<br />

general stock characteristics such as volume, price, market capitalization, and short interest. The<br />

first three rows of Table 2 show that the pilot stocks have similar average volume to the control<br />

stocks whether volume is measured by the number of trades per day, the average daily share<br />

volume, or turnover. The average volume-weighted average price (VWAP) and average market<br />

capitalization diverge slightly. For both Listed and Nasdaq NM Stocks, the VWAP is higher for<br />

pilot stocks but the market capitalization is lower. Neither difference is statistically significant.<br />

47 The SRO Pilot data refers to the short selling records available from each of nine markets: American Stock<br />

Exchange, Archapelago Exchange (now a part of NYSE Group), Boston Stock Exchange, Chicago Stock Exchange,<br />

NASD, NASDAQ Stock Market (now NASDAQ Stock Exchange), New York Stock Exchange (now a part of<br />

NYSE Group), National Stock Exchange, and the Philadelphia Stock Exchange. This analysis aggregates the short<br />

selling data without regard to whether there exists a SIAC report for the short sale transaction.<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 25<br />

DRAFT

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