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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report DRAFT 9/14/2006<br />

Table 9: Six Month Returns<br />

The table summarizes tests of whether the six month returns of the pilot stocks differ from the six month returns of<br />

the control stocks. The raw returns are compounded cumulative returns from CRSP. If a stock is not in the sample<br />

for the entire six months, its return from its last day is compounded to six months. The market adjusted returns is<br />

simply the raw return minus the CRSP equally-weighted index. The alpha is estimated in-sample by regressing the<br />

raw return for a stock on the equally-weighted CRSP index return. A stock’s alpha is considered “negative” if it is<br />

statistically below zero at the 5% level in a two-tailed test. Likewise, a stock’s alpha is considered “positive” if it is<br />

statistically above zero at the 5% level in a two-tailed test. ** indicates that the control stock returns are statistically<br />

different from the pilot stock returns at the 5% significance level in a two-tailed test.<br />

Panel A: Univariate Differences<br />

Panel B: Regression Tests<br />

Variable Market Pilot Control Difference<br />

Raw Return Listed 9.18% 11.56% -2.38%<br />

Raw Return Nasdaq 14.21% 16.30% -2.09%<br />

Market Adjusted Return Listed -2.10% -0.00% -2.07%<br />

Market Adjusted Return Nasdaq 2.26% 4.01% -1.74%<br />

Alpha Listed -0.05% -0.04% -0.01%<br />

Alpha Nasdaq -0.04% -0.02% -0.01%<br />

Negative Alpha Listed 5.56% 4.93% 0.60%<br />

Negative Alpha Nasdaq 2.73% 1.53% 1.20%<br />

Positive Alpha Listed 0.00% 0.92% -0.92%**<br />

Positive Alpha Nasdaq 0.91% 1.20% -0.29%<br />

Market Model Alpha = α + β Pilot<br />

Variable Market Pilot R-squared<br />

Alpha Listed -0.0001 0.009<br />

Alpha Nasdaq -0.0001 0.005<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 69<br />

DRAFT

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