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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report DRAFT 9/14/2006<br />

Table 3: Changes in Short Selling Activity<br />

This table summarizes how short selling changes when the tick and bid tests are removed. The four months prior to<br />

the Pilot start date (May 2, 2005) are called the “Pre-Pilot” and the six months following the start date are called the<br />

“Pilot”. The table shows the average change in short selling for Pilot and Control stocks and estimates whether the<br />

Pilot stocks changed more than the Control stocks. Short Volume is the number of shares in short sale transactions<br />

divided by total share volume. Short Trades is the number of short sale transactions divided by total transactions.<br />

Short Interest is the monthly short interest times 100 divided by the shares outstanding. Days to Cover is the<br />

monthly short interest divided by the average daily share volume during the corresponding month. Nasdaq market<br />

share is Nasdaq’s share of the volume of short selling. Paired t-tests determine whether the changes are significant.<br />

Tests of the difference between the changes are two-sample t-tests. **, * indicates statistical significance at the 1<br />

and 5% level in a two-tailed test. We test whether the Difference in the Change for Listed Stocks is statistically<br />

different from that of Nasdaq NM Stocks using a regression framework. During the Pilot Period, we run daily crosssectional<br />

regressions of each variable on an indicator for Pilot Securities and the variable’s pre-Pilot level (equation<br />

1). We run the regression separately for Listed and Nasdaq NM Stocks and test whether the coefficients on the Pilot<br />

indicator are similar. a, b indicates that the average coefficient for Nasdaq NM Stocks is statistically different from<br />

the average coefficient for Listed Stocks at the 1% and 5% level in a two-tailed test.<br />

Panel A: Univariate Changes<br />

Pilot Sample Control Sample Pilot Δ minus<br />

Variable Market Pre-Pilot Pilot Δ Pre-PIlot Pilot Δ Control Δ<br />

Short Volume Listed 24.41 26.32 1.91** 24.27 24.16 -0.11 2.02**<br />

Short Volume Nasdaq 36.08 37.76 1.68** 35.55 35.75 0.20 1.48**<br />

Short Trades Listed 27.37 33.67 6.30** 27.15 26.79 -0.36* 6.66**<br />

Short Trades Nasdaq 37.74 39.98 2.24** 37.20 37.57 0.37* 1.87**<br />

Short Interest Listed 3.62 4.01 0.39** 3.75 4.25 0.49** -0.10<br />

Short Interest Nasdaq 5.23 5.94 0.71** 5.00 5.60 0.60** 0.11<br />

Days to Cover Listed 6.14 6.87 0.73** 6.28 7.03 0.75** -0.02<br />

Days to Cover Nasdaq 6.64 7.91 1.27** 6.49 8.07 1.58** -0.31<br />

Nasdaq Market Share Listed 10.74 10.28 -0.46* 10.42 11.17 0.75** -1.21**<br />

Nasdaq Market Share Nasdaq 47.45 51.34 3.88** 47.86 49.20 1.34** 2.55**<br />

Panel B: Average Regression Coefficients<br />

Market Quality i = α + β Pilot 1 i + β Pre Pilot Market Quality<br />

2<br />

i<br />

Variable Market Pilot PrePilotControl R-squared<br />

Short Volume<br />

Short Volume<br />

Listed<br />

Nasdaq<br />

2.05**<br />

1.67**<br />

0.61** 0.09<br />

a 0.67** 0.08<br />

Short Trades<br />

Short Trades<br />

Listed<br />

Nasdaq<br />

6.75**<br />

2.08**<br />

0.63** 0.16<br />

a 0.67** 0.10<br />

Short Interest<br />

Short Interest<br />

Listed<br />

Nasdaq<br />

-0.11<br />

0.14<br />

0.89** 0.83<br />

a 0.91** 0.79<br />

Days to Cover<br />

Days to Cover<br />

Listed<br />

Nasdaq<br />

-0.05<br />

-0.31<br />

0.74** 0.49<br />

b 0.97** 0.62<br />

Nasdaq Market Share<br />

Nasdaq Market Share<br />

Listed<br />

Nasdaq<br />

-1.18**<br />

2.34**<br />

0.77** 0.15<br />

a 0.69** 0.11<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 62<br />

DRAFT

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