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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report 2/12/2007<br />

Study Alexander and Peterson (2006) Diether, Lee, and Werner<br />

(2006)<br />

Volatility No impact. The authors examine No increase in the majority of<br />

six volatility measures: 5 minute the 26 different volatility<br />

return volatility, semi-variance, measures for Pilot Stocks.<br />

daily relative price range, Fama- NYSE: higher short term<br />

French three-factor model volatility (15/5 variance ratio),<br />

idiosyncratic risk, CAPM<br />

daily return volatility, trade to<br />

idiosyncratic risk, and implied trade return volatility, offer to<br />

volatility.<br />

offer quote volatility, fiveminute<br />

bid and offer volatility,<br />

daily up-side and down-side<br />

semi-variance.<br />

The authors examine semivariance,<br />

trade returns, bid<br />

quote returns, and ask quote<br />

returns for various time<br />

lengths: trade to trade, quote<br />

to quote, five-minute, fifteenminute,<br />

and daily. They also<br />

examine the 15/5 minute<br />

variance ratio.<br />

Efficiency No impact except for the following<br />

measures for NYSE stocks:<br />

higher autocorrelation of fiveminute<br />

returns, greater likelihood<br />

of a lower price for the second<br />

trade after a short sale, and<br />

greater likelihood of a higher<br />

trade price for the first trade after<br />

a short sale. The authors<br />

examine the autocorrelation of<br />

five- and thirty-minute returns,<br />

upside minus downside rsquared,<br />

and price runs.<br />

Wu (2006) <strong>SEC</strong><br />

Variance ratios did not<br />

change with pilot.<br />

Daily price range and intraday<br />

price standard deviation do<br />

not change.<br />

Hasbrouck pricing errors<br />

show no significant change<br />

with pilot.<br />

Intraday return<br />

autocorrelations (30 and 60<br />

minute) did not change with<br />

pilot.<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 88<br />

Some evidence of an increase<br />

in intraday volatility. This<br />

appears to be driven by<br />

smaller stocks as larger stocks<br />

saw a decline in intraday<br />

volatility during the pilot.<br />

While average daily volatility<br />

does not change, smaller<br />

stocks experienced lower<br />

volatility during the pilot as<br />

larger stocks experienced an<br />

increase.<br />

Higher five-minute return<br />

reversals.<br />

Higher five-minute semiautoregression.<br />

No impact on thirty-minute<br />

return reversals, thirty-minute<br />

semi-autocorrelation, or on<br />

skewness in five-minute, thirtyminute,<br />

and daily returns.

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