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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report 2/12/2007<br />

1,263 control stocks that had listed options included in the analysis. Put and call option trading<br />

volume is aggregated over all classes and markets for each underlying stock on a daily basis.<br />

Then, the put and call option trading volume is averaged across days for each stock for period<br />

before the pilot and for the period of the pilot. The change in put option trading volume is<br />

calculated as the average daily put (call) volume during the pilot minus the average daily put<br />

(call) volume before the pilot. Finally, the change is averaged across stocks to yield the results<br />

reported in Table 4. Averaging across stocks allows us to maintain the independence of the<br />

observations and perform a t-test comparing the mean of the pilot stocks to the mean of the<br />

control stocks. The results for open interest and signed option volume use the same<br />

methodology.<br />

If the price restriction drives would-be stock short sellers to trade options to implement<br />

their investment strategies, then the lifting of the price restrictions on the pilot stocks would lead<br />

to a significant decline in option trading for pilot stocks relative to the control stocks. As<br />

indicated in table 4, between the Pre-Pilot Period and Pilot Period, we do observe a slight<br />

increase in average trading volume for calls and puts on Listed Stocks, a decrease in average<br />

trading volume of calls and puts on Nasdaq NM Stocks, and an increase the average open<br />

interest of all categories. Based on the paired t test, however, we find no statistically significant<br />

changes at the 5% confidence level. We also observe that open interest increased less on average<br />

for control stocks than for pilot stocks, but again, based on the two-sample t test, we find no<br />

statistically significant differences between the changes in the pilot and control samples.<br />

As an additional measure, we examine signed option volume. This is computed by<br />

subtracting the change in the put volume from the change in the call volume. A positive signed<br />

option volume suggests either an increase in long side buyer speculation or a decrease in short<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 37

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