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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report DRAFT 9/14/2006<br />

Table 3 shows how removing the price restrictions affects the level of short selling, based<br />

on three different measures, including (i) the number of shares sold short on a given day divided<br />

by the total share volume, (ii) the number of trades involving short sales, and (iii) short interest.<br />

Panel A shows the Pre-Pilot Period to Pilot Period comparison while Panel B reports the average<br />

coefficients from regression analysis. In the Listed market, short volume increases significantly<br />

from 24.4% to 26.3% of total volume in the pilot sample, while the change is not statistically<br />

significant for the control sample. A comparison of these two changes reveals that short selling<br />

volume increases by about 2% of total volume as a result of removing the tick test, suggesting<br />

that the tick test imposes economic costs on short sellers. The same conclusion can be drawn<br />

from the statistics on short selling as a percentage of trades.<br />

Similarly, both volume and trade measures for Nasdaq NM Stocks suggest that the<br />

application of the bid test reduces short selling. The regression analysis in Panel B confirms<br />

these conclusions and also shows that the effect of the tick test is stronger than the effect of the<br />

bid test.<br />

Although our results indicate that price restrictions appear to constrain the volume and<br />

frequency of short sales, these effects are not reflected in short interest. As indicated in Table 3,<br />

both pilot and control stocks exhibited significant increases in short interest around the time of<br />

the Pilot Period. However, none of the tests indicate any significant difference between pilot and<br />

control stocks. Both the univariate results in Panel A and the regression-based results in Panel B<br />

lead to the same conclusion: price restrictions appear to have no effect on short interest for Listed<br />

Stocks or for Nasdaq NM Stocks. The same result is observed whether short interest is measured<br />

in percentage of shares outstanding or in “days to cover.”<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 35<br />

DRAFT

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