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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report DRAFT 9/14/2006<br />

In addition to quoted spreads we also examine effective spreads, estimated for each trade<br />

by computing the absolute value of the difference between execution price and the current bid-<br />

ask quote midpoint. As we did for the quoted spread, we estimate both absolute and relative<br />

effective spreads. The effective spread results in Panel A of Table 6 look quite similar to the<br />

quoted spread results. Only one of the changes is statistically significant, a decline in the<br />

effective spread of pilot Nasdaq NM Stocks. This result alone would suggest that the application<br />

of the bid test decreases liquidity. However, this conclusion is weakened by the lack of<br />

statistical significance in the other sub-samples and the lack of a difference between the pilot and<br />

control stocks. The Panel B results suggest that the tick test has no impact on effective spreads,<br />

but the results on the bid test are mixed. The bid test appears to decrease effective spreads and<br />

increase relative effective spreads. Like the results on quoted spreads, the magnitudes of these<br />

changes are small.<br />

Overall, the Regulation SHO Pilot shows us that the price restrictions appear to augment<br />

depth at both the ask price and the bid price, but price restrictions have little if any effect on<br />

realized liquidity. These results are fairly consistent whether the price restriction is structured as<br />

a tick test or as a bid test, although the tick test augments the ask depth more and the bid test<br />

augments the bid depth more.<br />

2. Return Volatility<br />

The next set of tests examine whether removing the price restrictions alters return volatility.<br />

Table 7 displays test results for several volatility measures and several return horizons to capture<br />

different aspects of volatility.<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 42<br />

DRAFT

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