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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report 2/12/2007<br />

stock prices (September 2000-August 2001). In their sample of 2,275 observations, they find no<br />

significant differences in the overall level of short selling, or the frequency of days with<br />

abnormally negative returns and abnormally high short selling.<br />

Overall, the research above shows that short sales are executed in declining markets<br />

despite the application of the tick or bid tests. However, this does not mean that short sales are<br />

unaffected by the tick and bid tests. We discuss this further in the next section.<br />

2. Short Sale Execution Quality<br />

Another area of research examines whether these rules harm the execution quality of<br />

short sales by reducing the prices received by short sellers, by delaying the execution of short<br />

sales, or by reducing the fill rates.<br />

Martin and Marquette (1977) conduct a simulation calibrated to the Dow 30 stocks, to<br />

estimate the degree to which the rule would have affected execution prices for market short sale<br />

orders submitted during a period of market decline. The simulation results indicate that even<br />

during a period of rapid price declines, randomly arriving short market orders would have<br />

executed at higher prices as a result of the uptick rule. Therefore, short sellers appear better off<br />

because of the tick test.<br />

Albert, Smaby, and Robison (1997) examine the negative abnormal returns to stocks<br />

following large increases in reported short interest, as an estimate of the profitability of short<br />

selling. They find that short selling was more profitable for their Listed sample than their Nasdaq<br />

sample during a period (1987-1991) when only Listed Stocks were subject to a price restriction.<br />

Their findings imply that the uptick rule does not have a significant negative impact on the<br />

bottom line for short sellers.<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 18

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