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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Smith, Kathrin<br />

From: Bisiere, Christophe<br />

Sent: Friday, June 30, 2006 8:33 AM<br />

To: McCormick, Tim; Mayhew, Stewart<br />

Subject: squeeze -- preliminary results<br />

Attachments: NumInList_All.gif; NumInList_Amex.gif; NumInList_Arcaex.gif; NumInList_Nasdaq.gif;<br />

NumInList_Nyse.gif; NumInList_Others.gif; NumDaysInList.gif; DailyFailPct.gif;<br />

DailyFailPct.pdf; RunLength.pdf; Transitions.pdf; Seq.pdf<br />

NumInList_All.gif NumInList_Amex.gifNumInList_Arcaex.<br />

gif<br />

NumInList_Nasdaq.<br />

gif<br />

DailyFailPct.gif DailyFailPct.pdf RunLength.pdf Transitions.pdf Seq.pdf<br />

Here are my preliminary results.<br />

Time period: Fev 2005-Dec 2005<br />

1<br />

NumInList_Nyse.gifNumInList_Others.g NumDaysInList.gif<br />

if<br />

Stewart, Tim,<br />

1) Results that do not require to identify securities (data=all threshold data)<br />

NumInList_*.gif: daily time series of the number of securities in the threshold list<br />

2) Results that require to identify securities (done by Permno) (data=identified<br />

securities in threshold and fail data, which restrict us to nyse/amex/nasdaq)<br />

NumDaysInList.gif: how many days a security spent in the threshold list over the sample<br />

period<br />

DailyFailPct.*: daily average fails in % of outstanding shares (when fails > 0)<br />

RunLength.pdf: stats on the length of a "run" of contiguous business days spent in the<br />

threshold list<br />

3) Analyse of a possible price effect<br />

(requires matching CRSP data)<br />

Transitions.pdf: Beta Excess Return (source=CRSP) cond. on transition in/out of the list<br />

Seq.pdf: Beta Excess Return after a big increase in fails for a threshold security,<br />

from day 0 (day of the increase) to day 16 after the increase, for 5 definitions<br />

of "big". Sequences are clean (no overlaps). It does not show clear<br />

evidence of squeeze (however, there is a weak positive price impact on day 11/12).<br />

I did the same computation for trade volume and turnover, but did not find any effect.<br />

I am taking a day off today, and will be back on Monday. I am looking forward to discuss<br />

all these with you.<br />

Have a great week end.<br />

Christophe<br />

<strong>SEC</strong>_<strong>OEA</strong>_<strong>FCIC</strong>_001834

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