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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Reg SHO Pilot Report DRAFT 9/14/2006<br />

the call volume is -10 and the change in the put volume is -5, then the signed option volume<br />

equals -5. On the other hand, if the change in the call volume is -5 and the change in the put<br />

volume is -10, then the signed option volume is 5. Again, we find no significant difference<br />

between pilot and control stocks.<br />

Since short sellers may use short-term options in lieu of equity short sales, Table 4, Panel<br />

B shows the results for short-term options only. 50 The results are quantitatively similar to the<br />

results in Table 4, Panel A. Thus, the conclusions drawn from Table 4, Panel A hold for short-<br />

term options.<br />

Overall, the options market results provide no statistical evidence supporting the<br />

hypothesis that the tick test drives would-be short sellers away from the equity markets and to<br />

the options markets to trade. 51 Option trading volume of pilot Nasdaq NM Stocks show a<br />

decline in option volume relative to control stocks of 15%, but this difference is not statistically<br />

significant.<br />

3. Mechanical Effects<br />

Price restrictions have the mechanical effect of forcing short sellers to be liquidity<br />

suppliers instead of liquidity demanders because short sales can rarely be executed against the<br />

bid price. Therefore, we expect the removal of price restrictions to be associated with changes in<br />

quoting and trading purely because of the mechanics of the rules. In particular, Table 2 shows<br />

that about 46% of trades occur on downticks when the tick test applies. We expect that the<br />

removal of the tick test will lead to more balanced trading around 50% downticks because short<br />

50<br />

Long and short-term options are identified using the Options Clearing Corporation directory as of October 31,<br />

2005.<br />

51<br />

A regression model that controlled for changes in volatility in the pre- and post-periods provided results that were<br />

consistent with those in Table 4.<br />

Prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis 38<br />

DRAFT

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