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SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

SEC Follow Up Exhibits Part C SEC_OEA_FCIC_001760-2501

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Table 3<br />

Regression Analysis on Offer Day Short Sales<br />

The sample includes 388 IPOs issued between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2006 excluding closed-end<br />

funds. The dependent variable is the offer day short sales as a percent of the offer amount. Short sales are from<br />

Regulation SHO Pilot data and compiled from the following exchanges and SROs: Amex, ArcaEx, Boston,<br />

Chicago, NASD, Nasdaq, National, NYSE and Phlx, aggregated and then scaled by offer amount. Shares offered<br />

are from SDC and exclude the exercise of the overallotment option. The first day return is from the offer price<br />

from SDC to the first trading day opening price on CRSP. Change in offer price is the percent difference of the<br />

final offer price from the midpoint of the preliminary offer price range in the prospectus. Volume is the daily<br />

number of shares traded from CRSP. Price Supported IPO is a dummy variable equal to 1 if the first day return is<br />

equal to zero or the IPO is in the bottom quartile of the percent of the overallotment option exercised collected<br />

from Bloomberg or top quartile for the percent of trades, using TAQ, executed at the offer price on the first<br />

trading day. Percent float is the ratio of shares offered from SDC to shares outstanding from CRSP. The ability<br />

to execute is estimated using TAQ and measures the extent to which the <strong>Up</strong>tick Rule or Nasdaq Bid Test allows<br />

short sales to execute. Nasdaq is a dummy variable equal to 1 if the IPO trades on either the Nasdaq, 0 if it trades<br />

on the NYSE or the Amex. t-values are in parentheses. ***, **, * indicates significance at the 1%, 5% or 10%<br />

levels.<br />

Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4<br />

Intercept 0.056<br />

(4.70)***<br />

First Day Return from Offer Price to Open 0.188<br />

(8.88)***<br />

0.073<br />

(6.41)***<br />

Change in offer price 0.173<br />

(9.90)***<br />

-0.016<br />

(-1.67)*<br />

Volume T+0/Shares Offered 0.150<br />

(21.49)***<br />

Price Supported IPO 0.008<br />

(1.17)<br />

Float -0.005<br />

(-1.37)<br />

Ability to Execute T+0<br />

-0.029<br />

(-1.84)*<br />

Nasdaq 0.022<br />

(3.57)***<br />

0.004<br />

(0.55)<br />

-0.008<br />

(-2.30)**<br />

-0.022<br />

(-1.43)<br />

0.033<br />

(5.41)***<br />

-0.002<br />

(-0.50)<br />

0.0004<br />

(0.15)<br />

-0.025<br />

(-2.09)**<br />

0.023<br />

(5.05)***<br />

0.075<br />

(5.87)***<br />

-0.023<br />

(-3.40)***<br />

-0.005<br />

(-1.41)<br />

-0.016<br />

(-0.91)<br />

0.028<br />

(4.05)***<br />

Adjusted R 2 0.23 0.25 0.58 0.07<br />

39<br />

<strong>SEC</strong>_<strong>OEA</strong>_<strong>FCIC</strong>_002490

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