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SEC Form 20-F - Deutsche Bank Annual Report 2012

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<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bank</strong><br />

<strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>20</strong>10 on <strong>Form</strong> <strong>20</strong>-F<br />

Item 11: Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Credit, Market and Other Risk 154<br />

As the replacement values of derivatives portfolios fluctuate with movements in market rates and with changes<br />

in the transactions in the portfolios, we also estimate the potential future replacement costs of the portfolios<br />

over their lifetimes or, in case of collateralized portfolios, over appropriate unwind periods. We measure the<br />

potential future exposure against separate limits. We supplement the potential future exposure analysis with<br />

stress tests to estimate the immediate impact of extreme market events on our exposures (such as event risk<br />

in our Emerging Markets portfolio).<br />

The potential future exposure measure which we use is generally given by a time profile of simulated positive<br />

market values of each counterparty’s derivatives portfolio, for which netting and collateralization are considered.<br />

For limit monitoring we employ the 95th quantile of the resulting distribution of market values, internally referred<br />

to as potential future exposure (“PFE”). The average exposure profiles generated by the same calculation<br />

process are used to derive the so-called average expected exposure (“AEE”) measure, which we use to reflect<br />

potential future replacement costs within our credit risk economic capital, and the expected positive exposure<br />

(“EPE”) measure driving our regulatory capital requirements. While AEE and EPE are generally calculated with<br />

respect to a time horizon of one year, the PFE is measured over the entire lifetime of a transaction or netting<br />

set. We also employ the aforementioned calculation process to derive stressed exposure results for input into<br />

our credit portfolio stress testing.<br />

Credit Exposure from Nonderivative Trading Assets<br />

The following table shows details about the composition of our nonderivative trading assets for the dates specified.<br />

in € m. Dec 31, <strong>20</strong>10 Dec 31, <strong>20</strong>09<br />

Government paper & agencies 92,866 76,318<br />

Financial institutions & corporates 73,711 69,408<br />

Equities 66,868 58,798<br />

Traded loans 23,080 21,847<br />

Other 14,766 8,539<br />

Total nonderivative trading assets 271,291 234,910<br />

Traded credit products such as bonds in our developed markets’ trading book (excluding Postbank) are managed<br />

by a dedicated risk management unit combining our credit and market risk expertise. We use appropriate portfolio<br />

limits and ratings-driven thresholds on single-issuer basis, combined with our market risk management<br />

tools to risk manage such positions. Emerging markets traded credit products are risk managed using expertise<br />

which resides within our respective emerging markets credit risk unit and market risk management.<br />

Distribution Risk Management<br />

We frequently underwrite commitments with the intention to sell down or distribute part of the risk to third parties.<br />

These commitments include the undertaking to fund bank loans and to provide bridge loans for the issuance of<br />

public bonds. The risk is that we may not be successful in the distribution of the facilities. In this case, we would<br />

have to hold more of the underlying risk than intended for longer periods of time than originally intended.<br />

For risk management purposes we treat the full amount of all such commitments as credit exposure requiring<br />

credit approval. This approval also includes our intended final hold. Amounts which we intend to sell are classified<br />

as trading assets and are subject to fair value accounting. The price volatility is monitored in our market risk<br />

process. We protect the value of these assets against adverse market movements via adequate credit documentation<br />

for these transactions and market risk hedges (most commonly using related indices), which are<br />

also captured in our market risk process.

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