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<strong>The</strong> present study is concerned with the fatigue cracks that may develop at the longitudinal welds located at the<br />

conjunction of the web and the bottom flange at the mid-span, which falls into fatigue detail Category B<br />

(AASHTO 2007). When the fatigue detail coefficient A is assumed to follow a lognormal distribution, the mean<br />

and COV values can be calculated based on the test results of welded bridge details. Based on the tests<br />

performed by Keating and Fisher (1986), the mean and COV are calculated as 7.83×10 10 and 0.34.<br />

S w , the revised equivalent stress range, is calculated for given combinations of vehicle speed and road roughness<br />

condition. In the present study, the chi-square goodness-of-fit test is used to check the distribution type of the<br />

parameter S w for each combination of vehicle speed and road roughness condition. Based on Sturges’ rule, the<br />

number of intervals is seven for a 50-data bin and the degree of freedom is four. If a 5% significance level is<br />

chosen, the test limit for the Chi-Square test is calculated as C 0.95,4 =9.488. As demonstrations in the present<br />

study, six out of the total thirty groups of cases are employed to verify the distribution type. Both normal and<br />

lognormal are acceptable for revised equivalent stress range S w based on the Chi-Square test.<br />

Based on the assumption that all the variables (i.e. A, D f and S wj ) follow a certain distribution, the fatigue<br />

reliability index is obtained using the method in the literature (Estes and Frangopol 1998). Based on such a<br />

method, an arbitrary initial design point can be chosen and the solving process for the complex equation of<br />

g()=0 can be avoided. After several iterations, convergence can be achieved without forcing every design points<br />

to fall on the original failure surface.<br />

In order to investigate the effects of the vehicle speed and road roughness condition on the fatigue reliability, the<br />

fatigue reliability are calculated for all the 30 combinations of 6 vehicle speeds from 10m/s to 60m/s and 5 road<br />

roughness conditions from very good to very poor. <strong>The</strong> limit state function for a given combination of vehicle<br />

speed and road roughness condition is simplified as:<br />

m<br />

ntr<br />

⋅ Sw<br />

g( X ) = Df<br />

−<br />

(11)<br />

A<br />

Based on the LSF function, the fatigue reliability index, β, can be derived, assuming that all random variables<br />

(i.e. A, D f and S w ) are lognormal, as follows:<br />

λD + λ ( ln )<br />

f A<br />

− m⋅ λS + n<br />

w tr<br />

β =<br />

(12)<br />

2 2 2<br />

ζ + ζ + ( m⋅ζ<br />

)<br />

λ<br />

D f<br />

Df<br />

A Sw<br />

where , λ<br />

A , λ<br />

S and ζ<br />

w<br />

D , ζ<br />

f A , ζ<br />

S denote the mean value and standard deviation of ln(A), ln(D<br />

w<br />

f ) and ln(S w ),<br />

respectively.<br />

Generally, the fatigue reliability indices are found to decrease with the increase of vehicle speed and road<br />

roughness coefficient. If a 5% failure probability, i.e., a 95% survival probability is assumed, the corresponding<br />

reliability index is 1.65 (Kwon and Frangopol 2010). When the vehicle increase rate is 0%, the reliability index<br />

in all the thirty cases is larger than the target index of 1.65. Accordingly, the survival probability of all the thirty<br />

cases is larger than 95%. When the vehicle increase rate is 3% or 5%, seven or eight cases are found with a<br />

fatigue reliability index less than 1.65, i.e., the probability of fatigue failure for the bridge is larger than 5%<br />

during its 75 years life. In addition, when the vehicle increase rate is 5% and the road roughness condition is<br />

very poor, the reliability index is negative, which suggests the bridge would be more likely to suffer fatigue<br />

failure than to survive in its 75 years life. In general, the higher vehicle speed, the smaller reliability index and<br />

the higher probability of failure the structure will have in most cases. <strong>The</strong> deteriorated road surface seems to<br />

accelerate fatigue damages due to the dynamic effects from vehicles, which implies the importance of road<br />

surface maintenances for existing bridges.<br />

Α<br />

Table 1 Fatigue reliability index and Fatigue life<br />

β (for Fatigue life of 75<br />

years)<br />

Fatigue life for target β=1.65<br />

(unit: years)<br />

0 % 6.5 1906<br />

3 % 6.0 136<br />

5 % 4.4 93<br />

In the real circumstances, vehicle speeds vary for different trucks and road surface conditions deteriorate with<br />

time. By treating the vehicle speed and road roughness as random variables as discussed earlier, the fatigue<br />

reliability index is calculated and listed in Table 1 for different traffic increase rate, i.e., α= 0%, 3% and 5%. <strong>The</strong><br />

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