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Editor's Foreword

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for the ��-year period of the White Paper, but the trajectory<br />

of actual funding was thrown into doubt only<br />

ten days later when the ����/�� defence budget was<br />

announced and actually included cuts to near-term<br />

defence spending. In particular, the benefits of the<br />

new indexation regime were deferred for four years;<br />

A$�bn (US$�.�bn) of existing spending was removed<br />

from the next four years’ budgets and deferred into<br />

the future; and A$�bn (US$���m) in ���� and A$���m<br />

(US$���m) in ���� were also deferred. So despite the<br />

initiatives outlined in the White Paper, some A$�.�bn<br />

(US$�bn) has been ‘lost’ from the near-term budget<br />

plan. This prompted the Australian Strategic Policy<br />

Institute to suggest that defence spending may be<br />

viewed as something of a budget-balancing item,<br />

pointing out that the schedule of cuts and deferrals<br />

coincides with the government’s principle economic<br />

goal of returning to a budget surplus in ����.<br />

Central to the long-term funding plan laid out in<br />

the White Paper is the initiative to deliver more than<br />

A$��bn (US$��bn) in gross savings over the next<br />

decade. Indeed, the government is relying on realisation<br />

of these measures to provide two-thirds of<br />

its proposed A$��bn (US$��bn) increase in defence<br />

funding in the next ten years; the remaining A$��bn<br />

(US$�bn) will come from the new indexation regime.<br />

Broadly speaking, these ‘new’ funds will be allocated<br />

as follows: A$�bn (US$�.�bn) for major capital<br />

equipment; A$��bn (US$�bn) for personnel and operating<br />

costs associated with new equipment; A$�bn<br />

(US$�.�bn) for estate, information technology and so<br />

on; and A$�bn (US$�.�bn) for other budget provisions<br />

related to mediation. Defence Minister Joel Fi�gibbon<br />

East Asia and Australasia<br />

389<br />

acknowledged that the failure of previous initiatives to<br />

save money would make some people sceptical about<br />

the reform plan’s chances of success, but he stressed<br />

that the goals of the broader Force ���� programme<br />

could only be realised if savings are achieved. To<br />

date, however, only sketchy details have emerged<br />

about how the MoD will go about saving what is in<br />

effect �% of the present annual defence budget. With<br />

personnel and deployments on the increase, savings<br />

clearly will not be possible in these areas. Thus, it<br />

appears that the bulk of the savings are to be generated<br />

through the more prudent purchasing of goods<br />

and services provided by the private sector. Details<br />

so far published show that savings are expected to be<br />

made as follows: efficiencies in payroll, finance and<br />

human-resource management A$�.�bn (US$�.�bn),<br />

‘smart’ non-equipment procurement A$�.�bn<br />

(US$�bn), standardised IT A$�.�bn (US$�.�bn), be�er<br />

inventory management A$���m (US$���m), ‘smart’<br />

maintenance of equipment A$�.�bn (US$�bn) and<br />

workforces reform A$�.�bn (US$�.�bn).<br />

Whatever the eventual evolution of long-term<br />

defence spending, the ����/�� budget reached a<br />

historic high of A$��.�bn (US$��.�bn), a real-terms<br />

increase of ��% over the previous year. There were<br />

several one-off factors contributing to this: A$�.�bn<br />

(US$�.�bn) of additional spending for overseas<br />

deployments (A$�.�bn in Afghanistan, A$���m for<br />

East Timor and A$��m for Iraq); the provision of<br />

an additional A$�.�bn (US$�.�bn) to compensate<br />

for the depreciation of the Australian dollar; A$�bn<br />

(US$���m) of capital investment that had been<br />

deferred out of last year’s budget; plus the impact<br />

Table 33 East Asia and Australasia Regional Defence Expenditure as % of GDP<br />

% of GDP<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

1.45 1.38 1.41 1.45 1.44 1.41 1.41 1.44 1.45 1.44<br />

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Year<br />

East Asia and<br />

Australasia

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