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Editor's Foreword

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column C, data are converted into US dollars using<br />

a combination of both market exchange and PPP<br />

rates. Not surprisingly, this methodology dramatically<br />

boosts the apparent size of Chinese military<br />

spending and partly explains the wide range of<br />

spending estimates often referred to in the media.<br />

In the ����s, the difference between the official<br />

budget and true military spending in China was<br />

considerable. In those days China’s armed forces<br />

received significant additional funds from their own<br />

business activities, and China’s defence industry<br />

received massive government subsidies. During the<br />

past decade, however, as the official budget has risen<br />

by more than ��% per year, the likely gap between<br />

the official budget and true spending has narrowed<br />

considerably. Whatever the true extent of China’s<br />

military-related spending – and the Chinese govern-<br />

East Asia and Australasia<br />

393<br />

ment continues to insist that no spending exists<br />

outside of the official budget – the continued finetuning<br />

of differing methodologies to determine a<br />

definitive figure, particularly one expressed in US<br />

dollars, is becoming a less revealing exercise than in<br />

the past.<br />

Note: The use of PPP rates is a valid tool when comparing<br />

macroeconomic data, such as GDP, between countries at<br />

different stages of development. However, no specific PPP<br />

rate exists for the military sector, and its use for this purpose<br />

should be treated with caution. Furthermore, there is no<br />

definitive guide as to which elements of military spending<br />

should be calculated using the limited PPP rates available.<br />

The figures presented here are only intended to illustrate a<br />

range of possible outcomes depending on which input variables<br />

are used.<br />

East Asia and<br />

Australasia

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