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Editor's Foreword

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In March 2009, the 12 defence ministers of the<br />

South American Defence Council (SADC) – created to<br />

promote dialogue and coordination on regional security<br />

and defence issues – met for the first time. At an<br />

inaugural two-day meeting in Santiago, participants<br />

discussed proposals on how to increase transparency<br />

in military spending and equipment acquisitions. For<br />

many years, the lack of transparency in military expenditure<br />

has fostered mistrust in the region. Different<br />

countries include differing factors in their budgets<br />

and several derive additional military funding from<br />

a wide variety of opaque sources, including wealth<br />

taxes and the profits from commodity exports. It is<br />

thought that most countries, with the exception of<br />

Venezuela and Peru, indicated some willingness<br />

to increase transparency, although whether this<br />

will stretch as far as an Argentine proposal that all<br />

members adopt a standard defence-budget methodology<br />

remains to be seen.<br />

As the region’s biggest economy, Brazil has not<br />

been immune to the global economic downturn:<br />

growth of 5.1% in 2008 was followed by a 1.3%<br />

contraction in economic output in 2009. However, in<br />

their 2009 Article IV Consultation, the IMF praised<br />

the Brazilian government for its ‘robust policy framework’,<br />

suggested that the country was in a ‘favourable<br />

position’ to successfully weather the downturn,<br />

and forecast a return to positive growth of 2.5% in<br />

2010. As in recent years, Venezuela’s ongoing militarymodernisation<br />

programme provided the background<br />

for another increase in Brazil’s military budget.<br />

Between 2000 and 2004 military spending in Brazil<br />

was static and had fallen to 1.4% of GDP; since 2005,<br />

Latin America and the Caribbean<br />

59<br />

however, the budget has increased by around 10% a<br />

year, and in 2009 it jumped to R51.3bn (US$29.7bn)<br />

or 1.7% of GDP. The government has rejected claims<br />

that its rising military budget is a reaction to developments<br />

elsewhere on the continent, saying instead –<br />

and not without reason – that the extra money is due<br />

to the urgent need to upgrade and replace parts of its<br />

ageing military inventory after years of underinvestment.<br />

Replacing the armed forces’ old equipment,<br />

however, will continue to be a challenge, given that<br />

in 2009 only around US$2.3bn of the total budget was<br />

allocated to procurement, whereas US$22.4bn (75% of<br />

the budget) was spent on personnel-related issues.<br />

Of the three services, the army is saddled with<br />

a particularly old, indeed in many cases obsolete,<br />

inventory. Acknowledging the dire state of much<br />

of the army’s military equipment, the new national<br />

defence strategy, approved in December 2008,<br />

earmarked a sum of around US$70bn to upgrade the<br />

army’s capabilities. The plan focused on two main<br />

areas: improving security in the Amazon region and<br />

the acquisition of new hardware. The army will be<br />

reorganised and modernised into units including a<br />

light infantry brigade based in Rio de Janeiro, a jungle<br />

infantry brigade based in Manaus and an airborne<br />

brigade based in Anapolis, while end strength will be<br />

increased by 59,000, with 22,000 troops based in the<br />

Amazon region. The re-equipment programme will<br />

focus on improving deterrence, flexibility, modularity<br />

and interoperability.<br />

A second equipment programme, known as Cobra,<br />

will focus on procurement of the IVECO VBTP MR<br />

family of armoured vehicles (comprising 17 vari-<br />

Table 11 Latin America and the Caribbean Regional Defence Expenditure as % of GDP<br />

% of GDP<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

1.42 1.38 1.46 1.37 1.31 1.29 1.33 1.25 1.29 1.35<br />

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Year<br />

Latin America<br />

and Caribbean

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