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❘ Information for our Shareholders ❘ ❘ Management Report ❘ ❘ Financial Statements and Notes ❘<br />
Looking Ahead: Outlook and Opportunities<br />
• New orders and order backlog at high levels<br />
• Strategic international positioning successful<br />
in critical market environment<br />
• Challenges due to financial crisis met<br />
effectively to date<br />
• Staying the course on dividend policy<br />
Looking ahead<br />
Long-term growth targets maintained<br />
HOCHTIEF is outstandingly well poised to meet the<br />
challenges posed by periods of economic weakness<br />
and leverage existing opportunities thanks to the longpursued<br />
strategy of life cycle management and serving<br />
international markets. Our integrated capability portfolio<br />
spanning the life cycle of infrastructure projects,<br />
real estate and facilities along with our worldwide presence<br />
in all key regions lend HOCHTIEF considerable<br />
risk diversification and greater independence from fluctuations<br />
in specific industries and markets. We see<br />
HOCHTIEF’s strategic positioning as a sound competitive<br />
advantage and the key to attaining our long-term<br />
growth targets through both favorable and adverse<br />
phases of the economic cycle.<br />
Stable market conditions in 2010<br />
The international financial and economic crisis shaped<br />
global economic performance in 2009. Financial and<br />
economic systems were propped up with massive interventions<br />
by individual governments. Although the global<br />
economy has apparently seen the recession bottom<br />
out, we anticipate only a slow recovery in fiscal 2010.<br />
There is still a risk that the economy will suffer setbacks.<br />
In 2010, we project a low-level stabilization of the general<br />
economic situation in the euro zone. We do not<br />
expect Germany to achieve sustainable growth as early<br />
as 2010. In the USA, the economy is projected to expand<br />
moderately in 2010, whereas the prospects for<br />
the Australian market are viewed more positively. In the<br />
Gulf region, we anticipate stable performance by the<br />
markets in Abu Dhabi, Qatar, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia<br />
in particular.<br />
Asian markets led by China and India will also see an<br />
upswing in 2010. For fiscal 2010, we expect the euro to<br />
appreciate against the US dollar and the Australian dollar<br />
to make gains against the euro. Due to our strong<br />
presence in the Americas and Asia, exchange rate movements<br />
can influence our profit forecasts.<br />
Our planning is based on the assumption that the fi-<br />
nancial and capital markets will normalize again in<br />
2010, there will not be a sustained recessive setback in<br />
the world economy and the situation in areas of political<br />
tension will not lastingly deteriorate any further.<br />
New orders, order backlog and sales regain<br />
normal levels<br />
In the 2009 reporting year, new orders amounted to<br />
EUR 22.47 billion (2008: EUR 25.28 billion). We did not<br />
arrive at the prior-year level due to fewer large-volume<br />
new orders, particularly in the HOCHTIEF Americas division.<br />
At EUR 35.59 billion, the order backlog reached<br />
a new historical high and secured an approximately<br />
21-month forward order book for HOCHTIEF. Sales<br />
were again excellent at EUR 18.17 billion, despite the<br />
challenging market environment.<br />
For 2010, we anticipate new orders and an order<br />
backlog slightly below the prior-year level. Sales will<br />
be roughly on a par with fiscal 2009.<br />
Positive earnings trends<br />
In fiscal 2009, HOCHTIEF succeeded in increasing<br />
both profit before taxes (EUR 600.5 million) and consolidated<br />
net profit (EUR 195.2 million). Profit before taxes<br />
improved by more than 20 percent, while consolidated<br />
net profit exceeded the prior-year figure by nearly 25<br />
percent.*<br />
Despite the difficult economic conditions and in view of<br />
the still young fiscal year, we are optimistic that in 2010<br />
our pretax profit and consolidated net profit will be<br />
slightly above the 2009 level—not least thanks to our<br />
very healthy order backlog and current opportunities.<br />
*Based on the prior-year figures<br />
restated in accordance with<br />
IFRIC 15. For further information,<br />
please see pages 142<br />
and 143.<br />
Annual Report 2009 119