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The economic crisis will continue to cast a shadow<br />

over the European office rental markets in 2010. It remains<br />

to be seen how the broad economic recovery<br />

forecast will affect employment figures in the relevant<br />

segments.<br />

The European real estate investment market turned<br />

in a satisfactory performance in 2009. Although the first<br />

two quarters were still noticeably dogged by uncertainty<br />

on the financial markets, clear sales growth was reported<br />

in the third and fourth quarters. The increase in<br />

prime yield stabilized in most markets in the fiscal year.<br />

On the buyer side, mainly institutional investors with<br />

strong equity positions were active on the market. They<br />

were particularly interested in well­situated properties<br />

with long lease terms and tenants with good credit—the<br />

kind of real estate which HOCHTIEF Projektentwicklung<br />

focuses on developing. Investors mainly concentrated<br />

on the core Western European markets of the<br />

UK, France and Germany.<br />

For 2010, the majority of industry experts forecast po­<br />

tential growth of up to 35 percent in the transaction<br />

volume of the European real estate investment market.<br />

Demand for high­quality core real estate* will remain<br />

strong while supply will be short. As a result, a moderate<br />

increase in the purchase price level is expected in<br />

this segment.<br />

Construction<br />

The construction markets of most significance to<br />

HOCHTIEF showed a highly diverse pattern of development<br />

in 2009. As in 2008, the continued weak trend<br />

in residential construction affected the sector in Europe.<br />

According to the eminent Euroconstruct group, a network<br />

of research and consultancy institutes that analyzes<br />

trends in the European construction industry on<br />

an annual basis, construction activity in the residential<br />

construction segment dropped sharply in 2009. In the<br />

19 countries covered by Euroconstruct**, it fell by a<br />

clear 12.3 percent. HOCHTIEF remained largely untouched<br />

by this decline, however, thanks to its focus on<br />

highly sought­after premium apartments. The Eurocon­<br />

❘ Information for our Shareholders ❘ ❘ Management Report ❘ ❘ Financial Statements and Notes ❘<br />

struct group forecasts a 2.1 percent decline for 2010. A<br />

2.1 percent increase is not expected until 2011. Construction<br />

activity as a whole fell by 8.4 percent in 2009.<br />

The difficult economic environment also impacted on<br />

commercial construction in the year under review. A<br />

further decrease of 4.6 percent is anticipated for 2010.<br />

The experts at Euroconstruct expect the market to<br />

start recovering in 2011.<br />

The civil engineering segment differs from the other<br />

segments in the construction industry. Although the effects<br />

of the economic crisis can be felt, they are considerably<br />

less pronounced. The economic downturn<br />

prompted many countries to issue economic stimulus<br />

programs, which primarily make funds available for investments<br />

in infrastructure. Because of this, civil engineering<br />

grew by 1.7 percent in 2009. For 2010, growth<br />

of 0.8 percent is forecast in the countries covered by<br />

Euroconstruct. Because civil engineering contracts are<br />

generally awarded by the public sector, further opportunities<br />

will arise in the medium term for PPP (publicprivate<br />

partnership)*** or BOT (build, operate, transfer)<br />

projects. HOCHTIEF is also well positioned for these<br />

projects and has many years’ experience to fall back on.<br />

Industry experts expect a growth surge in the offshore<br />

wind farms segment. In 2009, around EUR 1 billion<br />

was invested in this segment; investments of EUR 3.3<br />

billion are already expected for 2011. Accordingly, the<br />

total capacity of these wind farms will increase in this<br />

period from 1,900 megawatts to around 4,500 megawatts.<br />

New economic opportunities also arise from sustain­<br />

able construction, to which HOCHTIEF is committed:<br />

The Deutsche Bank Research think tank forecasts, for<br />

example, that construction work promoting climate<br />

protection could generate additional construction activity<br />

of EUR 200 billion in Germany by 2030.<br />

The financial and economic crisis hit the US construc­<br />

tion sector particularly hard. For this reason, the gov­<br />

ernment launched an economic stimulus program worth<br />

***See glossary on page 198.<br />

*See glossary on page 197.<br />

**See glossary on page 197.<br />

Annual Report 2009 37

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