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INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTSaudi Paper MnfgAlso known asSPM,Saudi Paper GroupPriceSR57.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.7bn ($456.6mn)Sh. outstanding30.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 75.5/43.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 16.10 4.3012m 21.37 5.71Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.50 1.07Reuters2300.SEBloombergSPM ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 10 (15)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www.saudipaper.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 19.5 22.1 26.3P/B (x) 4.3 4.8 5.0P/Sales (x) 3.7 4.1 4.4Div yield (%) 0.9 1.0 1.3Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company (SPM) is one of <strong>the</strong> few integrated paper<strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong> MENA region. SPM engages in recycling of waste paper,production of tissue rolls from recycled paper and conversion of rolls in<strong>to</strong>consumer products such as paper napkins, <strong>to</strong>wels, facial and <strong>to</strong>ilet paper.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 331 366 444 505 13.9 15.2EBITDA SRmn 104 101 117 125 6.2 6.2Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 68 69 83 85 2.6 7.4Assets SRmn 456 526 628 1,138 81.2 35.6Equity SRmn 240 309 382 448 17.4 23.1Total Debt SRmn 158 176 192 589 206.3 55.0Cash & Equiv SRmn 19 39 27 38 38.4 26.0EBITDA Mgn % 31.5 27.5 26.5 24.7 - -Net Mgn % 20.7 18.8 18.6 16.8 - -ROE % 30.2 25.0 23.9 20.4 - -ROA % 15.4 14.0 14.3 9.6 - -Div Payout % - 17.5 21.8 35.4 - -EPS SR 68.4 2.9 3.4 2.8 (17.9) (65.4)BVPS SR 240.2 12.9 15.9 14.9 (6.0) (60.4)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.19MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.78Free float (%)Free float 49.90Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)80604020-SPM (RHS)HH Prince Abdullah Bin Musaed Bin 50.0Abdul Aziz Al SaudRa’ed Bin Abdul Rahman Bin Abdul 8.4Aziz Al Mesha’alFal<strong>com</strong> Financial Services Co. 7.7Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: SPM has three tissue paper processing plants with an aggregatecapacity of 70,000 <strong>to</strong>ns/year. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s wholly owned subsidiary Saudi PaperConverting Co. (SPCC) converts tissue rolls in<strong>to</strong> branded consumables, which are<strong>the</strong>n distributed through wholesale and retail channels. Saudi Recycling Co. (SRC)collects waste paper, which serves as feed for SPM’s downstream de-inking plants.Al-Madar Trading Co. was set up in <strong>the</strong> UAE <strong>to</strong> collect waste paper from internationalsources. SPM is currently expanding its tissue production and conversion facilities.• Financials: In 2008, SPM registered net profit of SR84.8mn on <strong>to</strong>tal revenues ofSR505.3mn, representing year-on-year (y-o-y) increase of 2.6% and 13.9%respectively. The lower growth in <strong>the</strong> net profit is mainly attributable <strong>to</strong> higher inputcosts, and higher o<strong>the</strong>r expenses.• Recent developments: In April 2009, SPM announced its results for 1Q-09 andregistered a net profit increase of 0.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR22.62mn. In March 2009, SPMunder<strong>to</strong>ok a production expansion at its Dammam plant through an investment ofSR300mn <strong>the</strong>reby increasing production by 79% <strong>to</strong> 125,000 <strong>to</strong>ns annually. In April2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany hiked its capital by 25% <strong>to</strong> SR300mn through <strong>the</strong> issuance ofbonus shares. In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany under<strong>to</strong>ok initiatives <strong>to</strong> expand its business inBahrain, Morocco, Algeria, and Jordan.JUNE 2009SAUDI PAPER MANUFACTURING218

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