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REAL ESTATE AND DEVELOPMENTExhibit 145: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 146: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 200830253525Dar alarkanROE(%)20151050MakkahArriyadhTaibaSaudi RealEstateDar alarkan0 1 2 3 4 5 6P/BROE(%)155TaibaMakkahSaudi RealEstateArriyadh-5JabalEmaar-150 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3P/BSource: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Jabal Omar had <strong>the</strong> highest average daily trading volume in 2007-08.Exhibit 147: Avg. daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 200812,00010,90510,0008,0008,3766,0004,0002,0001,3991,7652,4943,7514,0470Saudi RealEstateTaiba Makkah Arriyadh Al Arkan Emaar Jabal OmarSource: Reuters, TadawulFavorable demographics, risingpopulation, development ofeconomic cities, and growing<strong>to</strong>urism <strong>to</strong> boost demandThe impact of <strong>the</strong> global crisis is evident in <strong>the</strong> latest financial results of <strong>com</strong>panies and hasslowed <strong>the</strong> pace of development of some economic cities, with private sec<strong>to</strong>r players being hithard in recent quarters. We however expect favorable demographics, rising population,increasing demand for development of <strong>the</strong> economic cities, growing <strong>to</strong>urism and hotel industryand public infrastructure projects <strong>to</strong> continue <strong>to</strong> boost demand for real estate development inKSA. Moreover, with prices being driven by demand and not speculation, <strong>the</strong> market is likely <strong>to</strong>remain shielded from a sudden flight of capital. The Government’s utilization of petrodollarsearned in <strong>the</strong> past few years <strong>to</strong> fund infrastructure development projects, coupled wi<strong>the</strong>xpansion initiatives by Saudi <strong>com</strong>panies, are likely <strong>to</strong> boost supply. Additionally, <strong>the</strong> expectedapproval of <strong>the</strong> mortgage law would fur<strong>the</strong>r boost housing demand by easing access <strong>to</strong>mortgage financing. Therefore, we expect a steady recovery in Saudi real estate prices, led by<strong>the</strong> growing demand for real estate development. This might also result in more new playersentering <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s real estate market, <strong>the</strong>reby increasing supply.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK92

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