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HISTORY AND OVERVIEWeconomic conditions, Tadawul was <strong>the</strong> most liquid market in GCC with an average dailyturnover of USD2.08bn in 2008. In terms of trading volumes, <strong>the</strong> petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r was <strong>the</strong>most active in 2008, experiencing margin growth led by record oil prices in <strong>the</strong> first half followedby plummeting end-products prices and severe loss of demand in <strong>the</strong> second.Exhibit 35: Pricing multiples – TASI302520151050Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08P/E multipleP/BV multipleSource: BloombergWith <strong>the</strong> downturn in <strong>the</strong> economic outlook and market performance alike, valuations in KSAhave declined sharply. Tadawul’s P/E, which at <strong>the</strong> start of May 2006 was 27.6x, decreased <strong>to</strong>22.2x on 30 December 2007, before reaching 10.7x on 28 December 2008. TASI’s 41% gainsregistered in 2007, as it recovered from <strong>the</strong> big crash of 2006, were wiped clean in 2008, whereit lost 56.5% of its value, as <strong>the</strong> oil bubble burst. TASI’s 12M trailing price-<strong>to</strong>-earnings (P/E) andprice-<strong>to</strong>-book value (P/BV) multiples contracted 49.0% and 59.2%, respectively, during 2008.However, <strong>the</strong> multiples have improved considerably in <strong>the</strong> quarter under review. From a low of11.2x on 03 March 09, <strong>the</strong> multiples are currently trading at a level of 18.4x (17 May 2009),translating in<strong>to</strong> a correction of approximately 65%. This rally is largely led by improved marketsentiments along with government support measures. Despite this correction, <strong>the</strong> market looksattractive on a 1-year forward P/E multiple; dropping from a high of 35.2x <strong>to</strong> 10.78x in 2008.Insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r was <strong>the</strong>Exhibit 36: Sec<strong>to</strong>r wise performance and returns in 2008worst performing sec<strong>to</strong>r in20080(2,000)(4,000)(6,000)(8,000)(10,000)(12,000)(14,000)(16,000)(18,000)Banks/financialPetrochemicalCementRetailEnergy/utilitiesAgri/foodTele<strong>com</strong>/ITInsuranceMulti invIndustrial invConstructionReal estateTransportMedia/publishingHotel/<strong>to</strong>urism0%-10%-20%-30%-40%-50%-60%-70%-80%Net change% changeSource: Tadawul, NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK34

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