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PETROCHEMICALSExhibit 55: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 56: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 200860706040SAFCO5040SAFCORoE (%)20NICSipchemSIIGSABICRoE (%)3020SipchemSABICSPC APCP/BYanbu0Alujain-202 3 4 5 6 7100-10-20NICSIIGAPCKayanSPCYanbuRabigh0.5 1.5 2.5P/BSource: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company recorded <strong>the</strong> highest average daily trading volume in2007-08.Exhibit 57: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 200820,00019,49615,00010,0005,0004,7367241,924 1,1942,0025,0902,718 2,012 1,826 2,206 13,7575,9210SABICSAFCOSIIGSPCYanbuNamaSipchemNICAlujainAPCKayanRabighChemanolSource: Reuters Knowledge, TadawulThough oversupply situation islikely <strong>to</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r depressmargins, low cost structureremains a huge positiveWith hydrocarbon prices trending lower, <strong>the</strong> outlook for petrochemical prices also looks bleak.Moreover, as massive capacity expansion projects are in progress in <strong>the</strong> Middle East, <strong>the</strong>y areexpected <strong>to</strong> trigger an overcapacity situation once <strong>the</strong>y go on-stream in 2011-12. This, in turn,will likely depress utilization rates fur<strong>the</strong>r, exerting pressure on prices. We expect <strong>the</strong> Saudipetrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> experience margin erosion, although <strong>to</strong> a much lesser extent vis-à-visglobal peers, given access <strong>to</strong> cheap feeds<strong>to</strong>ck advantage and higher economies of scale.Moreover, in <strong>the</strong> long term, we expect demand <strong>to</strong> regain momentum once <strong>the</strong> global economyrecovers, with major growth <strong>com</strong>ing from <strong>the</strong> Asian countries, particularly China and India.Overall, although <strong>the</strong> outlook for 2009 remains negative based on declining demand and prices,as seen in 4Q-08, we believe that <strong>the</strong> long-term outlook for <strong>the</strong> Saudi petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>ris positive owing <strong>to</strong> its feeds<strong>to</strong>ck advantage, joint venture opportunities with globalpeers, expanding production base, and proximity <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> high-growth Asian and MiddleEastern markets. However, allocation of low cost feeds<strong>to</strong>ck for <strong>the</strong> up<strong>com</strong>ing new productionfacilities would be a challenge for Saudi players.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK48

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