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ENERGY AND UTILITIESExhibit 81: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 82: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 20081512NGIC1512NGICRoE (%)96RoE (%)963SECO3SECO00 1 P/B 2 300 1 P/B 2 3Source: Bloomberg, TadawulSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, TadawulSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap as on 31 Dec 2008Exhibit 83 indicates that SECO’s trading volumes are higher than that of NGIC.Exhibit 83: Avg. daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 20088,0007,5826,4004,8003,2001,6001,7080SECONGICSource: ReutersSince 2000, electricity tariffs have remained constant in KSA. However, increasing participationof <strong>the</strong> private sec<strong>to</strong>r is likely <strong>to</strong> result in <strong>the</strong> gradual introduction of market-based tariffs.Electricity & Cogeneration Authority’s (ECRA) approval of <strong>the</strong> proposed tariff changes is a keygrowth catalyst. This move is expected <strong>to</strong> provide relief <strong>to</strong> energy providers by ac<strong>com</strong>modating<strong>the</strong> cost of services <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> extent possible and offering sufficient revenue growth opportunitieswhile reducing <strong>the</strong> burden on low-in<strong>com</strong>e families. However, given <strong>the</strong> deteriorating consumerconfidence amid <strong>the</strong> ongoing economic crisis, implementation of this new tariff structure is likely<strong>to</strong> be muted.Electricity consumption isexpected <strong>to</strong> slowdown in 2009due <strong>to</strong> declining industrial andconstruction activity, but longterm is still intactGoing forward, Government’s initiatives <strong>to</strong> bring about economic growth (in <strong>the</strong> form ofadditional Government spending and rate cuts) with higher focus on energy-intensive industriesare likely <strong>to</strong> provide impetus <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> energy sec<strong>to</strong>r. Though declining industrial and constructionactivity could dent demand growth in 2009, significantly low per capita energy consumption in<strong>the</strong> Kingdom offers sufficient room for an upside in <strong>the</strong> long run. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> SaudiGovernment continues <strong>to</strong> encourage private sec<strong>to</strong>r investment in <strong>the</strong> energy sec<strong>to</strong>r, asprivatization will bring in <strong>the</strong> much-needed investment. The Pan-Arab GCC grid will alsoJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK59

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