<strong>European</strong> CommissionOccasional Paper 60, Volume IBougha-Hagbe (2004) <strong>and</strong> Collyer (2004) argue that real-estate investments are the most commoninvestments among migrants, <strong>and</strong> that they are not limited to areas of origin, but that they mostlyoccur in areas of the country that offer some attractions for the summer holidays. The relevance ofmigrant-led development in the tourism sector depends on several factors: the size of the migrantcommunity, the legal status of the migrants, the geographical proximity of destination countries tothe country of origin. When the cost of the travel is affordable <strong>and</strong> the majority of migrants are freeto temporarily leave their host country as they have a legal residence permit, then the developmentof a tourism sector is more likely to occur.Actual <strong>migration</strong> also increases the dem<strong>and</strong> for the export of those goods – such as food – whichare sold in so-called ethnic shops in destination countries. This occurs if the dem<strong>and</strong> from thediaspora is large enough when compared to internal dem<strong>and</strong>, thus this effect could be relevant forsmall countries with a large expatriate rate.The effects of <strong>migration</strong> on the sectoral dem<strong>and</strong> for labour are strictly interrelated to the effects thatremittances produce on the consumption pattern of recipient households (see section 3.3).3.2 Return migrantsReturn migrants can be a relevant channel through which consumption patterns are modified, as theybring home consumption styles they have become familiar with in destination countries. They alsobring home the financial resources to purchase the goods <strong>and</strong> services that they aspire to. This effect isrelevant if there is a large number of migrants who return home in the early phases of their adulthood,as young individuals are more exposed to the influence of newly-imported consumption patterns.Imported goods are likely to be overrepresented in the consumption baskets of the returnees, thusreducing the domestic dem<strong>and</strong> for labour.3.3 RemittancesRemittances can exert an unbalanced effect on the dem<strong>and</strong> for various goods <strong>and</strong> services, <strong>and</strong> somesectoral booms – such as in the building sector (Adams, 1991) – can emerge. The development of aparticular sector <strong>and</strong> the ensuing creation of job opportunities can occur only if remittances increasethe dem<strong>and</strong> for domestic goods. Conversely, "if remittances increase the import of foreign goods, thiswill not stimulate the local economy <strong>and</strong> a very limited multiplier effect will take place [...] a typicalexample is remittances sent to rural areas where they will be mainly invested in farm production, butalso manufacturing <strong>and</strong> services activities, therefore benefiting the whole economy" (Stalker, 2000).When remittances leads to an appreciation in the real exchange rate (Amuedo-Dorantes <strong>and</strong> Pozo,2004), this affects the sectoral composition of production, with resources being shifted from tradedto non-traded sectors, a situation that resembles the so-called Dutch disease. While this strengthensthe uneven sectoral impact of remittances, the appreciation of the real exchange rate that theybrought about also increases the likelihood that their stimulus to private dem<strong>and</strong> leaks out towardsimported goods, dissipating the job creation effect. 77It is interesting to observe that the eventual job-creation effect determined by migrant remittancescan be unevenly distributed across genders; Vargas-Lundius (2004) argues that the receipt ofremittances in origin communities stimulates the creation of jobs – such as in the constructionsector – where men represent a disproportionate share of the workers, so that they can contribute toreinforcing existing gender inequalities in labour-<strong>market</strong> outcomes such as wage <strong>and</strong>unemployment rates (see also section 1.1 on this).77 Da Cruz (2004) argues that in the small countries, which are heavily reliant on remittances – such as in the Comoros, hisown case study, remittances contribute to a boom in imports, thus worsening the trade balance.120
Chapter IIThe impact of <strong>migration</strong> on labour <strong>market</strong>s in Arab Mediterranean countries3.4 Social remittancesConsumption patterns can be influenced directly by the transfer of norms <strong>and</strong> ideas from destinationcountries. Non migrants are often receptive to the consumption patterns <strong>and</strong> the behaviours that themigrants bring back home. The dem<strong>and</strong> for particular kinds of goods <strong>and</strong> the ensuing development ofparticular sectors of the economy can be influenced by these in<strong>flows</strong> of ideas from abroad. Socialremittance are particularly important “when migrants return to live or visit their communities oforigin; when non-migrants visit those in the receiving country; or through exchanges of letters, videos,cassettes, e-mails, <strong>and</strong> telephone calls” (Levitt, 1998). Again, this effect is relevant in those countries(or regions) where the expatriate rate is high.4. Investments <strong>and</strong> entrepreneurial modelsThe dem<strong>and</strong> side of the labour <strong>market</strong> is not only exposed to effects that arise through changes inprivate consumption, but also to the influence that <strong>migration</strong> exerts on the choice of entrepreneurialmodels, <strong>and</strong> on the ability to finance ensuing investments. Remittances, the most apparent counterpartof labour <strong>migration</strong>, clearly represent the source of these funds, which have an outreach that goes farbeyond recipient households. There are also high expectations for the migrants themselves, who aresupposed to acquire additional skills in the countries of destination, <strong>and</strong> hence to have a higherlikelihood for setting up a new enterprise upon their return. Once more, return migrants can be thevehicle for the introduction of entrepreneurial models from the countries of destination to the countriesof origin, but social remittances can also be transferred through broader <strong>and</strong> less concrete channels.4.1 RemittancesRemittances can stimulate productive investments (Orozco, 2000; Woodruff <strong>and</strong> Zenteno, 2007), easethe provision of credit <strong>and</strong> the development of financial <strong>and</strong> equity <strong>market</strong>s (Giuliano <strong>and</strong> Ruiz-Arranz, 2009; Billmeier <strong>and</strong> Massa, 2009), although these positive developmental contributions arenot independent of the economic <strong>and</strong> institutional frameworks of recipient countries. 78Remittances also exert an important insurance role for recipient households; the risk-differentiationbrought about by <strong>migration</strong> at the micro level can offer the chance to undertake productiveinvestments that are profitable but that would have otherwise been deemed as too risky (Rapoport<strong>and</strong> Docquier, 2006). Adams (1991) analyzes the expenditure patterns of returned migranthouseholds, finding that they devote a large share of their remittance incomes to investment ratherthan to consumption, as they perceive remittances as being a temporary rather than a permanentsource of income. Similar findings are reported in Adams (2006a), where the author shows thathouseholds receiving remittances spend less on consumption <strong>and</strong> more on investments, education<strong>and</strong> housing than non-receiving households. He also stresses the importance of the effects ofremittances on wages <strong>and</strong> employment in areas where they are spent productively.Giuliano <strong>and</strong> Ruiz-Arranz (2009) use data from approximately one hundred developing countriesover the period 1975-2002 <strong>and</strong> they show that remittances provide an alternative way to financeinvestment in countries with poor financial systems. Remittances can help to overcome liquidityconstraints in countries where credit <strong>market</strong>s are inefficient or non-existent. Aggarwal et al. (2006)use a sample of 99 countries <strong>and</strong> they argue that remittances promote stock <strong>market</strong> development, <strong>and</strong>Gupta et al. (2007) reach the same conclusion for Sub-Saharan Africa. Needless to say, these effectscan give rise to a significant indirect impact on the labour <strong>market</strong> through the ensuing job-creationeffect.78 Remittances also reduce the likelihood of a Balance of Payment crisis (Bugamelli <strong>and</strong> Paternó, 2006), which induces amajor fluctuation in the business cycle, <strong>and</strong> hence in the level of investments <strong>and</strong> labour dem<strong>and</strong>.121
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