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Newlands Cross Upgrade EIS - European Investment Bank

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South Dublin County Council <strong>Newlands</strong> <strong>Cross</strong> <strong>Upgrade</strong><br />

Traffic Modelling: Working Paper No. 2<br />

Figure 3: Do Something – Do Minimum Actual Flow Comparison (2009 AM Peak)<br />

N4<br />

DORR<br />

N82<br />

3.5.2 <strong>Newlands</strong> <strong>Cross</strong> AM Peak LAM: 2024 Forecast Flows<br />

A similar comparison has been undertaken for the 2024 design year Do Minimum and Do<br />

Something scenarios. The results (shown in Figure 4 below) indicate the following:<br />

• There are significant increases in eastbound traffic along the N7. Again these are<br />

partly caused by traffic that otherwise would be queuing along upstream sections of<br />

the N7 at the end of the modelled period (peak spreading), although there seems to be<br />

significant reassignment onto the N7 from competing routes such as the Nangor and<br />

Ballymount Road, the M4 and the N81.<br />

• The model also indicates an increase in westbound traffic along the N7 as a result of<br />

the improvements, as the spare capacity at the <strong>Newlands</strong> <strong>Cross</strong> will be able to<br />

accommodate increased demand in outbound (out of town) AM peak trips by 2024.<br />

• North – south links in the area such as the R113, the ORR and the N82 will<br />

experience relatively minor variations in traffic, with flow decreasing on links<br />

belonging to alternative routes to the N7 such as the Belgard Road immediately to the<br />

south of the <strong>Newlands</strong> <strong>Cross</strong> or the N82. There would not be major variations in<br />

traffic along the M50 except for the section between the N7 and Ballymount<br />

Interchanges.<br />

\\DUBNTS06\DUBLIN_JOBS\D4500-D4599\D4556\4) DESIGN\11\<strong>EIS</strong>\<strong>EIS</strong><br />

CHAPTERS\CHAPTER 5 TRAFFIC AND TRANSPORT\APPENDIXA5.2 MODEL<br />

VALIDATION REPORT_ISSUE1_TEMP REV1.DOC<br />

N7<br />

N. <strong>Cross</strong><br />

N81<br />

M50<br />

Page 8 Arup Consulting Engineers<br />

24 March 2006

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