Final Program - Society for Risk Analysis

choice experiment questionnaire to measure attitudes among US wildland fire managerstoward several sources of risk. It represents one of the first stated choice studiesto incorporate probability weighting, which allows for nonlinear effects of probabilityon utility. Results provide a means for comparisons among wildfire managers’ riskpreferences and the risk preferences of professionals in other fields. Additionally, wedemonstrate that the efficiency of fire management over repeated wildfire events canbe improved through decision environments that allow for and encourage reducedrisk aversion among managers.W2-E.1 Callahan J, Dennis S; julie.callahan@fda.hhs.govFood and Drug Administration, Center for Food Safety and Applied NutritionRISK ANALYSIS DURING FOOD SAFETY EMERGENCIESConducting risk assessments, making risk management decisions and communicatingrisk during urgent food safety incidents with serious public health implicationspose unique challenges for risk analysis professionals. Each food safety incidentor emergency is likely to be unique in terms of the nature of the incident as well asthe amount and quality of information available and therefore may need to be approachedon a case-by-case basis. However, robust methods for conducting risk assessmentsand making risk management decisions, regardless of the level of pressureassociated with a particular food safety incident or emergency are critical to ensurethat timely decisions are based on a logical and knowledgeable understanding of thesituation rather than an emotional (or intuitive) basis. This presentation will focuson the US FDA participation in work to develop the FAO/WHO guide for applicationof risk analysis during food safety emergencies, including outcomes and lessonslearned from this project.T2-G.3 Calle JJ, McGill WL; jjc5111@psu.eduThe Pennsylvania State UniversitySORTIT - AN ONLINE MULTIPLAYER ADVENTURE GAME FORPAIRWISE RANKING OF RISKSWe present the design and evaluation of a serious online browser game calledSortIT for eliciting pairwise comparisons of risks. SortIT is a two-player collaborativegame that rewards players depending on whether they match the responses oftheir partner (i.e., an output-agreement game). Each round of SortIT presents playerswith a choice. Such choices include an assessment of which of two risks is moreor less risky, whether a risk is considered voluntary or involuntary, etc. SortIT is builtatop of an adventure game platform - in the game, players work together to defeat aseries of monsters in a dungeon. The goal is to defeat the monsters and move on tothe next dungeon. Each correct response (e.g., both players agree on the same risk asbeing more risky among the two presented to them) produces a hit on the monster,whereas an incorrect match results in the monster hitting the players. A successfulkill of the monster may yield treasures such as weapons and protective armor. In our72initial test of SortIT, we considered an array of cyber-oriented risks and a full set ofpsychometric dimensions thought to influence perceptions of these risks. Our resultsenabled us to display how individuals and groups playing the game rank order a set ofrisks and how they label individual risks. Players found the experience playing SortITto be very fun to the point where they expressed disappointment about having tostop when the experiment was over. In this talk, we present the full details of SortIT,including game design, concept, test, and results. Future directions are also discussed.M4-D.5 Cammarata C; cammarac@ctc.comConcurrent Technologies CorporationMETHODOLOGY FOR USING LIFE CYCLE ASSESSMENT TO MINI-MIZE ENVIRONMENT, ENERGY, WATER, AND CHEMICAL LIABIL-ITIESDomestic and foreign policies (i.e., EO 13514, REACH and RoHS) have placedpressure on the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) to implement more sustainablepractices for weapon system acquisition. As part of its sustainability efforts,the DoD seeks to use Life Cycle Thinking (LCT) to ensure that decisions regardingweapon system design consider potential impacts to human health and the environmentacross the system’s life cycle. To guide this effort, commonly-used Life CycleImpact Assessment (LCIA) methods and the components of those methods (e.g.,impact categories, metrics, characterization factors, weighting mechanisms) were reviewedand summarized with regard to their applicability to DoD’s LCT efforts. Gapsidentified included the absence of assessment methods for quantifying potential impactsto worker health and site-specific weighting mechanisms. This presentation willhighlight the current progress toward resolving these challenges and the unique considerationsthat large government institutions, such as the DoD, face when embracingLCT. This presentation also will present the current state of the life cycle impactassessment methodology being proposed.W2-D.2 Camp JS, Abkowitz MD, Hornberger GM; janey.camp@vanderbilt.eduVanderbilt UniversityCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION IN-FRASTRUCTURE - ADAPTATION STRATEGIES AND CHALLENGESOne key aspect of our livelihood that is threatened by climate change is the integrityand performance of our freight transportation systems. In the U.S., the freighttransportation network is a complex mosaic of highways, railroads, waterways, airportsand pipelines, covering millions of miles and involving interactions at thousandsof terminals. Sufficient climate changes are and will be taking place that requirean adaptive response. Potential changes of interest include warmer temperatures,sea level rise, more frequent and violent storms, and greater weather extremes. Theimpacts of these changes can range from imposing minor delays in the delivery ofgoods to the consumer, to rendering entire regions of the country impassable for long