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Net cash flows from financing activities consist of changes in borrowed funds (short-term and longterm),<br />

changes in other long-term liabilities, changes in common stock, and dividends paid. The only<br />

activities of a financing nature in this example are increases (or decreases) in bank loans outstanding.<br />

The bank line of credit is the buffer that keeps assets equal to liabilities and stockholders‟ equity. As<br />

assets grow with increases in inventories and accounts receivable, bank loans increase as well to<br />

finance this growth. As the inventories are sold and the receivables are collected during slower<br />

periods, the excess cash is used to repay the amounts borrowed. Banks typically require that the line of<br />

credit be paid in full at some point during the year. Any excess funds generated after repayment of the<br />

bank loans are invested in short-term marketable securities until they are required again to finance<br />

seasonal growth in assets.<br />

Forecasting<br />

Sales budgets are influenced by a wide variety of factors, including general economic conditions,<br />

pricing decisions, competitor actions, industry conditions, and marketing programs. Often the sales<br />

budget starts with individual sales representatives or sales managers predicting sales in their particular<br />

areas. The basic sales data are aggregated to arrive at a raw sales forecast that is then modified to<br />

reflect many of the variables mentioned previously. The resulting sales budget is expressed in dollars<br />

and must include sufficient detail on product mix and sales patterns to provide the information<br />

necessary for making decisions about changes in inventory levels and production quantities.<br />

Exhibit 11.7 Dell, Inc. annual sales, 1999-2008.<br />

In addition to the input from sales personnel, companies frequently also utilize a number of<br />

statistical techniques to estimate future sales. For example, Exhibit 11.7 is a graph of the Dell, Inc.‟s<br />

annual sales from 1999 to 2008.<br />

Sales appear to demonstrate a pronounced upward trend. How would one forecast sales for the next<br />

three years? Projecting from the most recent sales level might understate the estimates if the last year

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