01.05.2017 Views

632598256894

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

debt, but might help a pension fund that is about to invest in bonds. A rising dollar benefits American<br />

importers but hurts American exporters. The first step in risk management is to identify the exposures.<br />

Once the exposures are identified, one should narrow the search for an appropriate hedge to the set<br />

of derivatives that compensate the firm when the adverse scenario is realized. For example, an airline<br />

that purchases jet fuel will see higher costs when the price of oil rises. The airline should look for<br />

derivatives that pay off when oil prices rise. Thus, the airline should consider a long position in an oil<br />

futures contract, or a long oil forward, or an oil call option. A bank that suffers losses when interest<br />

rates rise should consider a short position in a bond future or forward, bond put options, or the fixedpayer<br />

side of an interest rate swap. An exporter that expects to receive Mexican pesos might wish to<br />

go short in peso futures or forwards, or buy peso puts.<br />

The next step is to choose from among futures, forwards, options, and swaps. This is perhaps the<br />

trickiest part of the analysis. To guide the selection, it is helpful to categorize the risks and the<br />

instruments as either symmetric or asymmetric. Futures, forwards, and swaps are symmetric hedging<br />

instruments, in that they pay off money if prices move in one direction, but incur losses if prices move<br />

in the opposite direction. Options, by contrast, are asymmetric hedging instruments. They pay off<br />

money if prices move in one direction, yet result in no cash outflows if prices should move the other<br />

way. A symmetric risk is one in which the firm is hurt if underlying prices move one way but benefits<br />

if prices move in the opposite direction. An asymmetric risk is one in which the firm is hurt if prices<br />

move in one direction, but the firm does not benefit appreciably if the price moves in the other<br />

direction. For example, a firm that exports to Japan and receives payment in yen benefits when the<br />

value of the yen rises, but is hurt when the yen falls in value. This foreign exchange risk is thus<br />

symmetric. The symmetric foreign exchange risk can be eliminated almost completely with a<br />

symmetric instrument such as a future or forward, not an option.<br />

A portfolio manager invested in stocks also faces a symmetric risk. The portfolio benefits if stock<br />

prices rise, and loses money if stock prices fall. The portfolio manager, however, might wish to<br />

modify the exposure in an asymmetric way, insuring against losses on the downside while maintaining<br />

the potential for upside appreciation. An asymmetric instrument, a put option, would be the<br />

appropriate hedge instrument in this case, since an asymmetric instrument converts a symmetric risk<br />

into an asymmetric exposure.<br />

An automobile leasing company is an example of a commercial venture that faces an asymmetric<br />

risk. If interest rates rise, the firm‟s interest expenses rise. If the firm tries to offset these higher costs<br />

by charging higher prices to customers, the firm would lose business. However, if interest rates fall,<br />

buying an automobile on credit becomes a more attractive substitute for leasing unless the leasing<br />

company also lowers its prices. Thus, the leasing company suffers when rates rise, but does not benefit<br />

when rates fall. An asymmetric hedge such as a bond put option would be the best choice of<br />

instrument in this case. The bond put option will pay off when rates rise, but will not require a cash<br />

outflow when rates fall.<br />

The key to choosing between symmetric and asymmetric instruments is to first identify the nature<br />

of the risk that is faced, and then choose the type of instrument that will modify the risk appropriately.<br />

A symmetric risk can best be eliminated with a symmetric instrument. An asymmetric risk can best be<br />

eliminated with an asymmetric instrument. A symmetric risk can be turned into an asymmetric<br />

exposure with an asymmetric instrument.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!