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It also should be clear why the fixed cost elements are not shown as a percentage. This information<br />

would be at best meaningless, and at worst misleading, since these percentages would only be for a<br />

sales volume of $1,102. These costs are fixed, so the percentage of sales amounts would change as<br />

sales change. Note that in this format only the variable costs of sales are considered product-related<br />

costs and all the fixed cost are now termed period costs since they are more related to a period of time<br />

than a level of output. Also note that regardless of how the data are formatted, the operating profit is<br />

still the same (except of the minimal error of our estimates); all that is changed is the financial data<br />

now conveyed in a manner that facilitates scenario analysis.<br />

Now turning to the scenarios, Exhibit 12.4 demonstrates how the contribution format facilitates<br />

forecasting. The first two columns show the base case from the past fiscal year, and the next four<br />

columns reflect the results of the price-cut scenario to increase volume split into two stages. The first<br />

two columns show the results of a 10% increase in volume under the current pricing scheme. The<br />

large increase in operating profit should not be surprising since the fixed costs have already been<br />

covered, and the 10% volume increase is utilizing idle facilities, so no additional infrastructure is<br />

needed. For any increase in sales dollars, 66% would drop through to the bottom line for a 10%<br />

increase in sales or $110; about $73 ($110 × 66%) would drop to the operating profit line, increasing it<br />

from $56 to $128.<br />

But this volume increase might necessitate a corresponding 10% price decrease. The next two<br />

columns reflect the second stage of the scenario. Net sales would now be $1,091.3 ($1,102.3 × 110%<br />

× 90%) since a 10% price decrease would drop the first-stage forecasted sales of $1,212 by $121. And<br />

since the price has been changed, the 34% variable cost factor has to be adjusted. The easiest way is as<br />

follows: Since there is still the 10% volume increase, the variable costs of $412 from column 3 would<br />

remain the same but now these units would be sold for less, $1,091 versus $1,212, thereby increasing<br />

the variable cost percentage to 37.8% ($412.1/$1,091.3). Fixed costs would again remain the same,<br />

resulting in a drastic cut in operating profit. The conclusion of this scenario: It is highly unlikely that<br />

the top management of Company X would increase volume by dropping prices by this amount.<br />

Exhibit 12.3 Company X—Quarterly Income Statements (costs reported by behavior).

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