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PLANNING FOR A SUSTAINABLE EUROPE? - TU Berlin

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385<br />

Orbital motorways do not necessarily lead to an increase in equality in the distribution<br />

of intra-metropolitan accessibility, for this will depend on their location within the<br />

metropolitan area: … the further in they are, the more traffic they will attract and the<br />

less extensive will be the area over which greater equality is brought about in the<br />

decentralization of accessibility.<br />

These conclusions thus seem to confirm the worry expressed by the NGOs that<br />

urban ring roads bring about problematic shifts in travel patterns. The second example,<br />

Linneker’s and Spence’s study on the regional development effects of the M25 London<br />

orbital motorway, is of limited transferability since their computer model heavily relied<br />

on regional employment data whose dynamics are rather particular to the British case. In<br />

addition, their results ran counter to previous research in the area, and their ultimate,<br />

“safe bet” conclusion was restricted to the insight that “accessibility improvements are<br />

not mono-causal and unilateral in their impact” (p.90). Taking a rather different<br />

approach, Van Nes’ (2002) Ph.D. thesis used the so-called space-syntax approach<br />

developed Bill Hillier and his colleagues at University College London – a method<br />

normally mostly used to predict “the likely effects of architectural and urban design<br />

choices” (Hillier 1999:345) - to present eight different European case studies on ring<br />

roads and urban change. Her research uses historical data on shops and puts it in relation<br />

to changes in the configuration and integration of the overall street grid. Although they<br />

do not take into account the influence of land use and transport policies on shop<br />

relocation, her space syntax models are able to explain significant differences in the way<br />

the ring roads affected the various town centers. One of her main conclusions is that<br />

“apparently, it is not the ring road that attracts the establishment of new retailers and<br />

shops, but the way in which the ring road is connected to the urban grid on which it was<br />

imposed” (van Nes 2002:18). Finally, Falleth’s study specifically investigated suburban

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