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PLANNING FOR A SUSTAINABLE EUROPE? - TU Berlin

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56<br />

activity from one place to another (win-lose situation). The latter case is the essence of<br />

the so-called two-way road argument, which warns that “improved accessibility between<br />

two countries (and similarly, between cities, areas or regions) may sometimes benefit one<br />

of them to the disbenefit of the other.” (SACTRA 1999:2). Finally, there is one last<br />

irresolvable methodological challenge that brings us full circle and goes beyond<br />

challenging the productivity of transport investments to give recognition to the simple<br />

fact that travel itself can be both productive or unproductive, so that, depending on its<br />

nature, either an encouragement or a discouragement of movement is in order. This<br />

dilemma is most succinctly summarized in the comprehensive SACTRA report (1999:2-<br />

3), which is worth quoting at length:<br />

[T]heory suggests that there are a number of important mechanisms by which …<br />

transport improvement could, in principle, improve economic performance. […] In<br />

the search for empirical evidence, we find that direct statistical and case-study<br />

evidence on the size and nature of the effects of transport costs changes is limited.<br />

[…] The state of the art of this important field is poorly developed and the results do<br />

no offer convincing general evidence of the size, nature or direction of local economic<br />

impacts. […] Our studies underline the conclusion that generalisations about the<br />

effects of transport on the economy are subject to strong dependence on specific local<br />

circumstances and conditions.<br />

In sum, the discussion on the economic development effects of transport<br />

infrastructure investments is not likely to be concluded any time soon. Certainly, one’s<br />

answer also has much to do with one’s overall ideological background and/or<br />

professional training in particular disciplines. Neoclassical economists, of course,<br />

provide different answers than old time Keynesians, neo-Marxists or environmentalists.<br />

Note that these more contextual aspects of the discussion will be picked up in more detail<br />

in ensuing chapters.

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