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SaHF DMBC Volume 1 Edition 1.1.pdf - Shaping a healthier future

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Figure 9.24: Potential activity flows for options based on Blue Light proxy travel time to next<br />

nearest hospital 16<br />

The numbers highlighted in blue indicate those sites that would receive more than 20% of<br />

the activity of a hospital that was no longer offering major hospital services. For example, if<br />

Hillingdon was not designated a major hospital, then 71% of its activity would move to<br />

Ealing.<br />

The numbers show the relationship between:<br />

Ealing and West Middlesex:<br />

o With between 41%-52% of activity transferring between the two sites<br />

(respectively), should one of them not be a major hospital.<br />

Hammersmith and St Mary’s:<br />

o Where between 59%-62% of activity would move between the two sites<br />

(respectively) should one of them not provide services<br />

Charing Cross and Chelsea & Westminster:<br />

o Where between 43%-57% of activity would move between the two sites<br />

(respectively) should one of them not provide services.<br />

This analysis was also completed for private car travel times, as shown in Figure 9.25.<br />

16 TfL HSTAT travel times data.<br />

1. Blue Light travel times estimated as 67% Off-peak Private Car travel times.<br />

2. Current configuration includes Central Middlesex and Hammersmith to understand flow to / from those sites<br />

3. Hospitals outside of NWL included in analysis = Barnet, Guy‟s, Kingston, Royal Free, St George‟s, St<br />

Thomas‟, St Peter‟s, UCLH, Watford, Wexham Park and Wycombe<br />

4. Travel times from population areas outside of London where >20% patients use NWL hospitals are included<br />

9b. Decision making analysis stage 5 316

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