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SaHF DMBC Volume 1 Edition 1.1.pdf - Shaping a healthier future

SaHF DMBC Volume 1 Edition 1.1.pdf - Shaping a healthier future

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Build new Local Hospital facilities<br />

Dispose of estate when changing the site to a Local Hospital (net receipts from<br />

disposal)<br />

Cover high risk and significant risk backlog maintenance (this is included because<br />

backlog maintenance is assumed to be one off additional spend over and above the<br />

ongoing programmes to replace assets and the requirement differentiates the options<br />

as it is not required for sites becoming Local Hospitals).<br />

The capital estimates for Options B and C were derived from the extensive work done on<br />

Option A by pro-rating costs and values as appropriate, except for Ealing under Option C<br />

and Charing Cross under Option B where an estimated range was provided by the estate<br />

advisors.<br />

In options where Imperial College is impacted by changes (Charing Cross in Option A and C,<br />

and Chelsea and Westminster in Option B), a capital cost equivalent to the estimated NHS<br />

contribution to relocating the College in acute premises has been included (this excludes<br />

additional potential NHS capital contributions to provide teaching space in out of hospital<br />

hubs and GP practices). This amounts to £35 million in Options A and C and £18 million in<br />

Option B.<br />

Based on consultation feedback for Trusts impacted, capital has been estimated for activity<br />

flowing out of NW London sector. Estimates of activity flows were used to estimate the<br />

requirement for new beds and the feedback from Trusts from out of sector who responded to<br />

the consultation was applied to assess the cost.<br />

Land and capital receipts have been estimated on the basis of market value assuming<br />

planning permission for residential use. To be prudent, an additional 20% risk adjustment<br />

discount has been applied.<br />

With these planning assumptions, revised capital estimates have been assessed for the<br />

three shortlisted options as set out in Figure 9.79.<br />

9d. Decision making analysis stage 6 and stage 7 394

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