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Educability-and-Group-Differences-1973-by-Arthur-Robert-Jensen

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170 <strong>Educability</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Group</strong> <strong>Differences</strong><br />

careers were followed into adulthood (Terman & Oden, 1959).<br />

The Stanford-Binet IQs of more than 1,500 of the children of the<br />

gifted group were obtained. These data, therefore, permit an<br />

interesting genetic prediction.<br />

The simplest additive genetic model used <strong>by</strong> agricultural<br />

geneticists for predicting the mean value of some attribute in the<br />

offspring of a specially selected parent population is given <strong>by</strong><br />

Crow (1970, p. 157), as follows:<br />

0 = M + hl (P-M) (7.1)<br />

where<br />

0 = predicted mean of the offspring<br />

M —general population mean<br />

= narrow heritability9<br />

P = parental mean<br />

The population mean, M, is 100. The mean IQ of the gifted<br />

group (as children) was 152. Terman estimated their spouses’<br />

mean Stanford-Binet IQ from his Concept Mastery Test as 125.<br />

Thus the parental mean, P, would be (152 + 125)/2 = 138-5. The<br />

best available estimate of narrow heritability (h2) for intelligence<br />

is given <strong>by</strong> Jinks <strong>and</strong> Fulker (1970, pp. 342, 346) as 0-71 ±0-01.<br />

Substituting these values in the formula given <strong>by</strong> Crow, we have<br />

0 = 100 + 0-71 (138-5-100) = 127-33<br />

as the predicted mean IQ of the offspring. We can compare this<br />

genetic prediction with the mean Stanford-Binet IQ actually<br />

obtained <strong>by</strong> Terman <strong>and</strong> Oden (1959, Table 61) on 1,525 offspring<br />

of the gifted group. The IQ distribution of the offspring is shown<br />

in Figure 7.4, with a mean of 132-7 <strong>and</strong> SD of 16-5.10 The obtained<br />

mean is 5-4 IQ points higher than our predicted value. But<br />

the prediction was based on the assumption of no difference<br />

between the average environment provided <strong>by</strong> the gifted parents<br />

<strong>and</strong> average environment in the general population. Therefore,<br />

the discrepancy of 5-4 IQ points over the predicted IQ may be<br />

viewed as due to the environmental advantages of the offspring of<br />

the gifted. This would be a ‘between-families’ environmental<br />

effect, one SD of which, according to our MZ twin analysis, is<br />

equivalent to 3-35 IQ points. So the offspring of the Terman gifted<br />

group could be regarded as having enjoyed environmental advantages<br />

5-4/3-35 = 1-6 SDs above the average environment in the

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