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Evaluating Country Programmes - OECD Online Bookshop

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<strong>OECD</strong> 1999<br />

<strong>Country</strong> Programme Evaluations Workshop: The Case of Tanzania<br />

increased activity in domestic and foreign private investment. Overall, however,<br />

Tanzania showed a decline in investments from 19.6% in 1996 to 18.2% in 1997. In<br />

order for Tanzania to achieve the desired GDP growth rates of 6 to 8%, investment<br />

levels will need to rise to between 30 and 40% of GDP.<br />

Politics<br />

Tanzania is a multi-party State with a President and the National Assembly<br />

elected by adult suffrage every five years. The National Assembly has<br />

269 members, 37 of whom are women participating by appointment. Zanzibar has a<br />

House of Representatives of 59 members, with appointed women.<br />

Chama cha Mapinduzi (CCM) is the ruling party with the President as Chairman.<br />

Other political parties include the Civic United Front (CUF); the National Convention<br />

for Construction and Reform (NCCR-Mageuzi); Chama cha Demokrasia na<br />

Maendeleo (Chadema) and the United Democratic Party (UDP).<br />

Since the first multi-party elections in 1995, political tolerance has been exacerbated<br />

with Zanzibar’s situation escalating to a point of crisis needing external<br />

intervention. The weaknesses and divisions within the opposition parties have hindered<br />

possibilities for fundamental changes on the political scene after the next<br />

elections in year 2000.<br />

International donors and Bretton Woods institutions continue to put pressure<br />

on the government to stamp out corruption, which is known to be endemic in all levels<br />

of society. The IMF has identified three areas needing urgent attention: tax<br />

administration and collection, business regulation, and privatisation.<br />

Critical development issues<br />

Poverty situation<br />

Research has shown that about 59% of the Tanzanian population live below the<br />

poverty line. The 1997 World Bank Development Report ranked Tanzania’s mainland<br />

among the three poorest countries in the world with GNP per capita at USD120<br />

in 1995. However, the 1997 UNDP Report indicated a per capita GDP based on purchasing<br />

power parity using the country’s currency at USD656 in 1994.<br />

Poverty in Tanzania is widespread in rural areas where 60% of the population<br />

lives below the poverty line and 10% live in absolute poverty. They depend on agriculture<br />

– made vulnerable by climatic uncertainty, poor tools, remoteness to markets,<br />

infertile soils – as a main source of income, producing 42% of the food they<br />

consume. Families are large and the dependency ratio is 1: 3 compared to 0.9 for<br />

non-poor. Literacy levels are lower in rural areas than in urban areas.<br />

125

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