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Evaluating Country Programmes - OECD Online Bookshop

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<strong>OECD</strong> 1999<br />

Real Progress: Fifty Years of USAID in Costa Rica<br />

Second, Costa Rican entry into the CACM probably enhanced efficiency of industrial<br />

companies initially, because it introduced Costa Rican firms to greater regional<br />

competition. But as time passed, new investments were made in high-cost production<br />

aimed at the regional market. A high external tariff created tremendously effective<br />

protection from import competition and made adaptation to newer and higher<br />

quality products produced abroad unnecessary. This protection caused product<br />

design and quality to stagnate, making eventual export of manufactured goods outside<br />

the region unlikely. Industrialists resisted lowering import tariffs, which would<br />

have spurred competition, led to greater specialisation, and made the region better<br />

able to export manufactures to the rest of the world. Costa Rican participation in the<br />

common market was initially judged by economists to have been favourable for economic<br />

growth. 7 More recent work suggests that the beneficial effects on investment<br />

and employment were only temporary and led to a dead end. In the longer run, the<br />

CACM probably slowed economic growth by reducing the region’s links to international<br />

competition and technological evolution (Sachs and Warner, 1995).<br />

The outside event that coloured perceptions of Costa Rican development happened<br />

in East Asia. To some extent, success is necessarily relative, linked to expectations<br />

of what is possible. In the 1960s, Costa Rican GDP annual growth rates of<br />

around 6% were viewed as highly satisfactory, for there was little evidence that<br />

countries could grow any faster on a sustained basis. (In the United States, clearly<br />

a development success, per capita GDP has grown relatively consistently at an<br />

annual rate of 1.7% for two centuries.) Costa Rica consistently exceeded this rate in<br />

the 1950s and 1960s. But the goalposts shifted in Asia after World War II. The postwar<br />

experience of Japan and rapid growth in the 1960s in other Asian countries –<br />

notably Korea, Taiwan, and the city – states of Hong Kong and Singapore – have set<br />

a new standard. 6% is no longer rapid growth if 8% or 10% is consistently possible.<br />

Basic human needs and poverty reduction (1972-81)<br />

By 1970, USAID had begun to view Costa Rica as a development success. Its<br />

economy had grown rapidly for some years, fuelled by rapid growth of industrial<br />

exports to Central America and agricultural exports to the United States and<br />

Europe. Exports of coffee, bananas, sugar and beef were growing rapidly. A large<br />

alumina deposit was expected to become a new major export. USAID/Costa Rica<br />

began planning for gradual phase-out and started reducing staff. USAID Mission<br />

submissions to Washington began to emphasise the Mission’s “unfinished agenda”<br />

and activities looking towards a post-aid relationship with Costa Rica.<br />

For a decade after 1972, the Agency shifted its primary work in Costa Rica away<br />

from broad macro-economic and sectoral concerns towards the social and economic<br />

problems of the poorest sectors of society. Initially, this was a response by the Costa<br />

Rican Mission to perceptions in Washington that Costa Rica was on a satisfactory<br />

growth path and that its relatively high income and favourable social indicators<br />

251

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