Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis Project - Atlantic Climate ...

Figure 3-27. Selected Hurricane and Tropical Storm Tracks
If a Hurricane of Category 2 or 3 were to make landfall in the area southern
Newfoundland, then a situation similar to that produced by the Saxby Gale in the Bay of
Fundy could result:
o
o
o
o
Newfoundland has a number of SW-NE oriented bays, narrowing northward along its
south shore such as Fortune, Placentia, and St. Mary‟s bays;
The storm could coincide with one of the two daily high tides or nearly so;
Going forward to mid and late century, the added impact of net sea level rise would
another factor aggravating the situation;
A first very crude attempt at representing the cumulative effects of the various factors
at play to estimate the potential high water mark is presented at Figure 3-28 though it
is cautioned that storm surge depends on a complex combination of factors in
TA1112733 page 85