Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis Project - Atlantic Climate ...

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L.D. Talley and A. Unnikrishnan, 2007: Observations: Oceanic Climate Change and Sea Level. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.) and Chapter 10 (Meehl, G.A., T.F. Stocker, W.D. Collins, P. Friedlingstein, A.T. Gaye, J.M. Gregory, A. Kitoh, R. Knutti, J.M. Murphy, A. Noda, S.C.B. Raper, I.G. Watterson, A.J. Weaver and Z.-C. Zhao, 2007: Global Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.) Stevenson et al, 2011 Kuhlbrodt et al, 2007 (Stevenson, S., B. Fox-Kemper, M. Jochum, R. Neale, C. Deser, and G. Meehl, "Will there be a Significant Change to El Nino in the 21st Century?," Journal of Climate, 2011; DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00252.1); Kuhlbrodt, T., A. Griesel, M. Montoya, A. Levermann, M. Hofmann, and S. Rahmstorf, On the driving processes of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Rev. Geophys., 45, RG2001, 2007, doi:10.1029/2004RG000166. Worst Case Scenarios Bruce, 2011 Bruce, J. P., March 2011: Climate Change Information for Adaptation – Climate Trends and Projected Values for Canada from 2010 to 2050, Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction, 38-40 and 49-51. 7.3 References for Assess Need for New/Updated Flood Risk Mapping Vasseur and Catto, 2008 Vasseur, L. and Catto, N. (2008): Atlantic Canada; in From Impacts to Adaptation: Canada in a Changing Climate 2007, edited by D.S. Lemmen, F.J. Warren, J. Lacroix and E. Bush; Government of Canada, Ottawa, ON, p. 119-170. 7.4 References for Assess Need for Flood Forecasting / Flood Warning System ESRI, 2010 ArcGIS. (Updated: May 18, 2010). Bing Maps Aerial, Hybrid, Road group layer. Available from TA1112733 page 158
http://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=303116b7ebf44f4eb6dcf1648e346f 46 GeoBase, 2012 GeoBase, 2012 WRMD, 2011 WRMD, 2012 Statistics Canada, 2012 Tom, 2010 USGS, 2011 Canadian Council on Geomatics, GeoBase. (Updated: 2012, March 2). National Road Network. Retrieved January 5, 2012 from http://www.geobase.ca/geobase/en/data/nrn/index.html Canadian Council on Geomatics, GeoBase. (Updated: 2012, March 15). National Hydro Network (NHN). Retrieved January 5, 2012 from http://www.geobase.ca/geobase/en/data/nhn/index.html Department of Environment and Conservation. (2011). Badger Water Level Information. Available from http://www.env.gov.nl.ca/env/waterres/flooding/badger.html Department of Environment and Conservation, Flood Risk Mapping Studies/Public information Maps. (Updated January 23, 2012). Available at http://www.env.gov.nl.ca/env/waterres/flooding/frm.html Statistics Canada. (2012). 2011 Census of Population – Population by Census Subdivision. Available from the Newfoundland and Labrador Statistics Agency: http://www.stats.gov.nl.ca/ Tom, Melissa. (2010). Adapting remotely sensed snow data for daily flow modeling on the Upper Humber River, Newfoundland and Labrador. Available from http://www.env.gov.nl.ca/env/waterres/flooding/adapting_remotely_sensed_sn ow_data.pdf USGS (United States Geological Survey). (September, 2011). Southeastern New York Tide-Telemetry and Coastal-Flood-Warning System. Available from http://ny.cf.er.usgs.gov/nyprojectsearch/projects/TideWarning.pdf USGS, 2012 USGS (United States Geological Survey). (Updated: 2012, January 25). Global Data Explorer. Retrieved December 29, 2011 from http://gdex.cr.usgs.gov/gdex/ Unisys, 2011 WRMD, 1992 Unisys Weather. (2011). Hurricane/Tropical Data. Retrieved March 12, 2012 from http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/ Water Resources Division, Department of Environment and Lands, Government of Newfoundland and Labrador. (1992). Water Resources Atlas of Newfoundland. Retrieved January 25, 2012 from http://www.env.gov.nl.ca/env/waterres/cycle/hydrologic/atlas.html TA1112733 page 159
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Atlantic Climate Adaptation Solutio
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GOVERNMENT OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABR
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June 13, 2012 AMEC Project #TA11127
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Government of
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Assessing the Need for New or Updat
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SUMMARY The Government of Newfoundl
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Land Use Change A pre-cursor effort
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fresh water from the Arctic south a
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watershed, which appears to already
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RECOMMENDATION SUMMARY Infrastructu
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7. It is recommended that WRMD deve
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TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE EXECUTIVE SU
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7.3 References for Assess Need for
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LIST OF TABLES Table 2-1. Flood Eve
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LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2-1. Water R
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1. OVERVIEW In the 1980‟s, under
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Floodway Floodway Fringe Climate Ch
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2. Task B - Updated Flood Events In
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Management Framework for Canada def
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The „Types of Events‟ field is
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Field Damage Estimate by Community
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Arrangements 10 (DFAA) damage estim
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Storm # General Location Year Seaso
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2.3.2 Weather Events - Annual Occur
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Figure 2-6. Storm Occurrence by Yea
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Figure 2-8. Storm Occurrence by Mon
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Type of Event (Grouped) % Occurrenc
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Figure 2-11. Flood Occurrence by Se
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Coastal Flooding Coastal Flooding a
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September is associated, presently,
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3. Task C - Assess Existing Flood R
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Gaudon‟s Brook / Cold Brook Steph
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3.3.2.1 Community Flood Watersheds
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3.3.2.3 Earth Observation for Susta
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Figure 3-3. Graphical model of land
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Original EOSD Classes Shadow Water
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surrounding areas were also evaluat
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Watershed Community Total Area Fore
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correct). Of the 90 accuracy assess
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Figure 3-6. GCM sectors selected to
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Figure 3-7. Percentage change of pr
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The results for temperature are sim
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Area Labrador West Central East Sum
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West sees slightly larger winter in
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These increases, though slight, in
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Classification Maximum Sustained Su
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Since air flow around high pressure
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10 9 8 7 6 Total Number of Tropical
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One of the reasons for this increas
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Figure 3-19. Frequency of Named Sto
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Figure 3-21. Change in Mean Sea Lev
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The net long term sea level effect
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Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The AM
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middle of North America as it would
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e a higher incidence of tropical st
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extreme will be considered. Areas t
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Storms weaken rapidly once they mak
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Figure 3-27. Selected Hurricane and
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o o a Category 2 Hurricane making l
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o Because winter temperatures show
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Worst Case Scenarios This section
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5. A hurricane making landfall on t
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Standards Association 21 recommends
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WRMD has defined a preference for h
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The hydrographic network was used t
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4.1.8 Flood History Identification
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Watershed Slope The slope attribute
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such as number of flood events at a
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Page 141 and 142: 5.2 Methods The methodology used fo
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Page 147 and 148: Figure 5-3. Storm tracks for select
Page 149 and 150: natural constrictions. The number a
Page 151 and 152: 5.5.2 Community Exposure to Physica
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Page 155 and 156: Community Access Notes Confinement
Page 157 and 158: Brook and Deer Lake are both locate
Page 159 and 160: Warning Systems 1. It is recommende
Page 161 and 162: source of flood vulnerabilities com
Page 163 and 164: Figure 6-2. Newfoundland Digital El
Page 165 and 166: communities ( Gillams, Hughes Brook
Page 167 and 168: Sub-region Precipitation Climate Ch
Page 169 and 170: Analysis of the socio-economic data
Page 171 and 172: East-2 Coastal communities line nea
Page 173 and 174: 6.2.2 Potential Strategies Table 6-
Page 175 and 176: 6.3 Mitigation Recommendations Base
Page 177 and 178: Table 6-5 presents the range of ave
Page 179 and 180: West-3, West-4, and Central-3 These
Page 181 and 182: Mitigation Strategy Cost to Impleme
Page 183 and 184: Sub-region Watershed Characteristic
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Page 187: Music and Caya, 2007 Richter and Ba
Page 191 and 192: Rank Community Name LGP# 82 Massey
Page 193 and 194: Rank Community Name LGP# 252 Little
Page 195 and 196: Rank Community Name LGP# 423 Thornl
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Page 199 and 200: FOX ISLAND RIVER-POINT GALLANTS GEO
Page 201 and 202: GEORGE'S BROOK-MILTON GOOBIES GRAND
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Page 205 and 206: Flood # Storm # General Location St
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Flood # Storm # General Location St
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11. Appendix D IDF Curves Report TA
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Development of Projected Intensity-
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Storm Duration Development of Proje
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1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003
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Mean Annual Total Precipoitation, m
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Storm Duration Storm Duration Devel
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Storm Duration Storm Duration Storm
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Codroy Valley Watershed Topography
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Parson's Pond Watershed Topography
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Rushoon Watershed: Topography Eleva
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Eastern Watersheds, East Topography
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Eastern 54°0'0"Watersheds, West To
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Central Watersheds, 57°0'0"W East
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Central 58°0'0"W and Western Water
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Badger and Rushy 58°0'0"W Pond Wat
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Cox's Cove Watershed: Land Cover 58
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Ferryland Watershed Land Cover 60°
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49°0'0"N Glenwood-Appleton 56°0'0
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Parson's Pond Watershed: Land Cover
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Rushy Pond Watershed: 57°0'0"WLand
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Stephenville Crossing Watershed: La
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Whitbourne and Brigus Watersheds: L
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Eastern Watersheds 2: Land Cover Ha
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Eastern Watersheds, East: Land Cove
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