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Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis Project - Atlantic Climate ...

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Watershed Slope<br />

The slope attribute associated with the soils data were used to determine an approximate<br />

average slope across a watershed. In a manner similar to drainage density, higher average<br />

watershed slope can suggest both higher runoff rates <strong>and</strong> a more 'flashy' hydrograph.<br />

The prioritization weighting will reflect the watershed slope as follows:<br />

Weighting Description<br />

0 If the average slope is less than or equal to 5%<br />

1 If the average slope is greater than 5% <strong>and</strong> less than or equal to 15%<br />

2 if the average slope is greater than 15%<br />

Deforestation<br />

Table 4-6. Watershed Slope Weighting<br />

Watershed runoff response will be influenced by changes in l<strong>and</strong> cover as a result of community<br />

development. The change detection analysis completed as a component of the l<strong>and</strong><br />

classification analysis was used as the basis for this aspect of the assessment. The prioritization<br />

weighting was assigned as the combined “deforested to developed” plus “deforested to other”<br />

change detected.<br />

Broader changes in l<strong>and</strong> cover as a result of changing terrestrial communities due to climate<br />

change are addressed in Vasseur <strong>and</strong> Catto (2008). However, the sensitivity <strong>and</strong> vulnerability of<br />

forest communities in <strong>Atlantic</strong> Canada is considered to be low to moderate. Further, given that<br />

the Vasseur <strong>and</strong> Catto (2008) assessment of climate change influences on forest systems<br />

provided no specific guidance on regional variation of potential impacts across the Province,<br />

there was not any means of using this issue as a prioritization factor in the present assessment.<br />

4.1.11 Watercourse Hydraulics<br />

It was originally proposed to investigate potential changes to hydraulic response via co-analysis<br />

of a time series of (satellite) imagery available over a common location, interpretation of which<br />

might allow for identification of physical changes in the thalweg <strong>and</strong> banks of a watercourse<br />

indicative of channel forming flows during the periods between image acquisitions. This now<br />

commonly applied GIS methodology uses heads-up digitizing by a trained geomorphologist to<br />

delineate channel planform (active channel boundaries) as depicted <strong>and</strong> interpreted in a series<br />

of co-registered high resolution satellite images <strong>and</strong>/or aerial photographs. These are then<br />

overlaid in GIS to study recent channel change (e.g., 1980, 1990 <strong>and</strong> 2000) with the goal of<br />

capturing the impacts of at least one significant flood. Once recent river planform changes on<br />

the study reach have been identified, stable <strong>and</strong> unstable reaches can be defined allowing the<br />

TA1112733 page 103

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