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Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis Project - Atlantic Climate ...

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5. A hurricane making l<strong>and</strong>fall on the isl<strong>and</strong> would produce the very highest water levels in<br />

Newfoundl<strong>and</strong>. A coarse preliminary attempt at quantifying the cumulative factors was<br />

presented for illustration purposes only. Numerous other factors, unique to each storm<br />

<strong>and</strong> its particular behavior, as well as the local topography would affect that high water<br />

mark both downward as well as upward. As a result, a range of recommendations to<br />

mitigate damages should be considered. Firstly, since a 1 in 50 year event could occur<br />

in a year or two from now, local emergency plans should be reviewed to ensure they<br />

include the potential impacts of a Hurricane. Additional measures may also be required<br />

to ensure public safety such as evacuation routes etc. Secondly, a closer study of<br />

Hurricanes is recommended to determine a range of likely tracks <strong>and</strong> intensities with a<br />

view to better assessing the likely wind directions <strong>and</strong> storm surges which specific<br />

communities may have to deal with. Such a greater underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the Hurricane<br />

threat to the isl<strong>and</strong> may then allow a close assessment of the impacts of such<br />

hypothetical storms in specific communities given their unique topography. Finally, flood<br />

plain maps for these vulnerable communities could be updated <strong>and</strong> other defenses<br />

considered.<br />

3.4.9 Acknowledgements<br />

The CRCM V4.2 monthly data (aet run) was generated <strong>and</strong> supplied by the Ouranos <strong>Climate</strong><br />

Simulation Team via CCCma's data distribution Web page.<br />

TA1112733 page 93

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