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Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis Project - Atlantic Climate ...

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shown in Figure 3-6 which were selected to correspond to the WRMD regions. Third, <strong>and</strong><br />

finally, the data was averaged over the four areas <strong>and</strong> over time <strong>and</strong> compared to the 1961-<br />

1990 baseline average. The results are presented <strong>and</strong> discussed below.<br />

It is apparent from Figure 3-7 <strong>and</strong> Figure 3-8 that there are significant differences in the future<br />

between the seasons over the entire province for both temperature <strong>and</strong> precipitation.<br />

Specifically the regions of Newfoundl<strong>and</strong> will have mixed results including some areas having<br />

decreased summer precipitation <strong>and</strong> Labrador will see a varied increase during the summer<br />

whereas during the winter, all areas see increased precipitation over time. In general the winter<br />

season receives the greatest increase in precipitation over time, especially beyond 2050 for all<br />

regions with the greatest increases over Labrador. Given an increase in regional temperature<br />

due to climate change this is to be somewhat expected as the atmosphere could transport more<br />

water vapour. The change in temperature is also different between the seasons. The<br />

temperature over the whole province generally increases over time but this is most noticeable<br />

over Labrador <strong>and</strong> the Labrador Sea. As with precipitation, temperature increases are greatest<br />

in the winter months <strong>and</strong> trends accelerate beyond 2050. Although not examined in this<br />

document, for the isl<strong>and</strong> of Newfoundl<strong>and</strong>, the biggest changes may occur in the transitional<br />

seasons when the isl<strong>and</strong> gets many of its biggest storms.<br />

Figure 3-7 shows similar results for the precipitation changes during summer <strong>and</strong> winter. The<br />

three regions of Newfoundl<strong>and</strong> are very similar with steadily increasing rainfall over time, <strong>and</strong><br />

Labrador, which has a much lower average precipitation but whose precipitation increased<br />

much faster over time.<br />

Figure 3-9 <strong>and</strong> Figure 3-10 show similar results for the precipitation during summer (Figure 3-9)<br />

<strong>and</strong> winter (Figure 3-10). The three regions of Newfoundl<strong>and</strong> are very similar with steadily<br />

increasing rainfall over time <strong>and</strong> Labrador which has a much lower average precipitation but<br />

whose precipitation increased much faster over time.<br />

TA1112733 page 50

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